LAO
Overview of the 2017 Transportation Funding Package
Read the report at Legislative Analyst's Office ↗
Overview of the 2017
Transportation Funding Package
MAC TAYLOR • L E G I S L A T I V E A N A L Y S T • JUNE 2017
Summary
In April 2017, the Legislature enacted Chapter 5 (SB 1, Beall), also known as the Road Repair
and Accountability Act. The administration estimates this legislation will increase state revenues
for California’s transportation system by an average of $5.2 billion annually over the next decade. In
this report, we (1) provide a brief background on the state’s transportation system, (2) describe the
major features of the transportation funding package contained in the legislation, and (3) discuss
issues for the Legislature to consider moving forward. (Though California’s transportation system
also is supported by federal and local funds, this report focuses only on state funding given the
purview of SB 1.)
CALIFORNIA’S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM
The state’s transportation system helps to move and maintain these streets and roads. They
people and goods around and through the state. also operate and maintain other aspects of
State funding primarily supports three segments: their local street and road systems, such as
traffic signals and storm drains.
• State Highways. The state’s highway
system includes about 50,000 lane-miles
• Transit Operations. There are 200 transit
of pavement, 13,000 bridges, and
agencies in California that primarily
205,000 culverts (pipes that allow naturally
operate bus, light rail, and subway systems.
occurring water to flow beneath a roadway).
These transit systems are generally owned
The California Department of Transportation
and operated by local governments, such as
(Caltrans) is responsible for maintaining and
local transit authorities.
rehabilitating the highway system.
As we discuss below, SB 1 increases state
• Local Streets and Roads. The state has over funding for these transportation segments from
300,000 paved lane-miles of local streets various state transportation taxes and fees,
and roads, including nearly 12,000 bridges.
including gasoline excise taxes, diesel excise and
California’s 58 counties and 482 cities own
sales taxes, and vehicle taxes and fees.
AN LAO BRIEF
MAJOR FEATURES OF THE
2017 TRANSPORTATION FUNDING PACKAGE
This section consists of three parts. First, we Improvement Fee are the two largest revenue
describe the funding package’s revenues. Second, sources. Altogether, the administration projects
we describe its spending provisions. Lastly, ongoing revenues to increase by $5.2 billion
we discuss accountability and other measures annually. Currently, state funding for transportation
contained in the legislation. from these and other revenue sources (such as truck
weight fees and cap and trade auction revenues) total
I s t r
ncreases tate ransportatIon evenues
about $7.5 billion annually. Below, we provide more
Figure 1 shows the tax and fee rate increases detail on each revenue increase.
established by SB 1. The legislation increases both
State Fuel Taxes
gasoline and diesel taxes, while also creating new
vehicle taxes and fees to fund transportation. Gasoline Taxes ($2.5 Billion). The state
Figure 2 shows the share of revenues from each currently has two excise taxes on each gallon of
tax and fee increase. (Because the tax and fee rate gasoline: a base tax and a variable “swap” tax.
increases are phased in over the next several years, (We note that there is also a federal excise tax of
the associated revenue increases cited here and 18.4 cents per gallon.)
throughout the remainder of this report reflect the
• Base Excise Tax ($2.2 Billion). This
administration’s estimated annual average increase tax is set in state law at 18 cents per
over the next decade.) As shown, the gasoline gallon. Starting November 1, 2017, the
excise tax increases and the new Transportation transportation funding package adds a
12 cent per gallon base
excise tax—bringing
Figure 1
total base excise taxes
Tax and Fee Rate Increases
to 30 cents per gallon.
Current Rates New Ratesa Effective Date
It also adjusts the rates
Fuel taxesb
for inflation starting
Gasoline
in 2020. These changes
Base excise 18 cents 30 cents November 1, 2017
Swap excisec 9.8 cents 17.3 cents July 1, 2019 are expected to raise
Diesel $2.2 billion annually.
Excisec 16 cents 36 cents November 1, 2017
Swap sales 1.75 percent 5.75 percent November 1, 2017 • Swap Excise Tax
Vehicle taxes and feesd ($300 Million). Currently,
Transportation — $25 to $175 January 1, 2018
this tax is set annually by
Improvement Fee
the Board of Equalization
ZEV registration fee — $100 July 1, 2020
a (BOE), which considers
Adjusted for inflation starting July 1, 2020 for the gasoline and diesel excise taxes, January 1, 2020 for
the Transportation Improvement Fee, and January 1, 2021 for the ZEV registration fee. The diesel sales both gasoline price and
taxes are not adjusted for inflation.
b Excise taxes are per gallon. quantity sold in an effort
c
Current rate set annually by the state Board of Equalization. The funding package converts the variable
to mimic a sales tax on
rate to a fixed rate.
d
Per vehicle per year. gasoline (which the swap
ZEV = zero-emission vehicle.
tax replaced in 2010). The
2 Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov
AN LAO BRIEF
current swap rate is 9.8 cents per gallon but • Swap Sales Tax ($350 Million). The
will increase to 11.7 cents on July 1, 2017. state also has a sales tax specific to diesel
Starting July 1, 2019, the funding package (enacted as part of the gasoline tax swap)
eliminates the swap tax and replaces it with set at 1.75 percent. The funding package
a fixed excise tax of 17.3 cents per gallon— increases this rate to 5.75 percent. This is
the rate in effect when the swap was expected to increase associated revenues by
created in 2010. It also adjusts the rate for $350 million annually. (In addition, state
inflation starting in 2020. These changes and local sales taxes on tangible goods that
are expected to raise $300 million annually. together average 8.5 percent statewide also
(This estimate reflects the administration’s apply to diesel, with revenue from a rate of
assumption that the swap tax increases to 4.75 percent funding transportation. Senate
16.9 cents just prior to the funding package Bill 1 makes no changes to this tax.)
fixing the rate at 17.3 cents.)
Vehicle Taxes and Fees
Diesel Taxes ($1.1 Billion). The state currently
collects revenue from excise and sales taxes on diesel Transportation Improvement Fee
fuel. (We note that there is also a federal excise tax of ($1.7 Billion). The funding package creates a
24.4 cents per gallon.) new vehicle charge—called a Transportation
• Excise Tax ($700 Million). Currently, this Improvement Fee—specifically to fund
tax has a variable rate set annually by BOE. transportation. Vehicle owners are to pay the fee
The board adjusts the rate to ensure the annually at the same time they pay their vehicle
combined revenues from this tax and a registration fee. Figure 3 (see next page) shows the
diesel sales tax enacted in the 2010 tax swap rate schedule for the new fee. The fee is expected to
(discussed below) are neutral compared
generate $1.7 billion annually.
to diesel excise tax revenues prior to the
swap. The current rate
is 16 cents per gallon. Figure 2
Starting November 1,
Transportation Revenue Increases
2017, SB 1 increases
Total: $5.2 Billion a
this tax by 20 cents
per gallon to 36 cents
Transportation
per gallon and makes
Improvement Fee
the rate fixed. It also
adjusts the rate for
inflation starting in
Gasoline
2020. These changes
Excise Tax
are expected to raise
$700 million annually.
(This estimate reflects
Diesel Excise Tax
an assumption by the
administration that Diesel Sales Tax
ZEV Registration Fee
the rate would have
a Reflects average annual increase over the next ten years.
decreased to 14 cents
ZEV = zero-emission vehicle.
starting July 1, 2018.)
www.lao.ca.gov Legislative Analyst’s Office 3
AN LAO BRIEF
I s t s
ncreases tate ransportatIon pendIng
Figure 3
Transportation Improvement As shown in Figure 4, SB 1 creates a series of
Fee Schedule formulas to distribute the revenues from the new
Value of Vehiclea Annual Fee taxes and fees to different transportation programs
and purposes. In most cases, the formulas split the
$0 to $4,999 $25
$5,000 to $24,999 50 revenues based on percentages, but in some cases
$25,000 to $34,999 100
the legislation sets aside fixed dollar amounts for
$35,000 to $59,999 150
certain programs. (Revenues from the inflation
$60,000 and higher 175
a Based on depreciated value of vehicle. Values not adjusted for adjustments imposed by SB1 on existing taxes
inflation in the future.
are distributed according to existing statutory
formulas.) Figure 5 shows how much ends up being
Zero-Emission Vehicle Registration Fee
spent by each type of program. As shown, the
($19 Million). Senate Bill 1 creates a new $100
largest spending increases are for state highways
registration fee for zero-emission vehicles only.
and local streets and roads. Below, we describe
Called a Road Improvement Fee, it is expected to
the specific transportation programs that receive
generate $19 million annually. (The reason for this
the new revenues. (Additionally, as we discuss
fee is because drivers of zero-emission vehicles do
in the box on page 6, a proposed constitutional
not pay fuel taxes like other drivers.)
Figure 4
Formulas for Distributing New Transportation Revenues
Gas Excise Taxa
Transportation
Improvement Fee
Diesel Excise Tax
Diesel Sales Tax
ZEV Fee
12.5% $350 millionb $250 million 50%
87.5% 50% 100% 100%
Intercity and Public Transit Congested Trade
Commuter Rail Account Corridors Corridors
30% 70%
Remaining Funds
State Transit Transit and Road Maintenance Rehabilitation Account
Assistance Program Intercity Rail • $400 million state bridges/culverts
Capital Program • $200 million “self-help” counties c
• $100 million active transportation
• $25 million freeway patrols
• $25 million local planning grants
• $7 million university research
d
a Excluding revenues from off-highway vehicles that go to support parks • $5 million workforce development
and agricultural programs.
b Amount for 2017-18. Amount adjusted annually for inflation thereafter. Remaining Funds
c Counties that have imposed a sales tax or developer fee and dedicated the 50% 50%
revenues for transportation.
d Until 2021-22 only. Highway Local streets and
maintenance/ roads maintenance/
rehabilitation rehabilitation
ZEV = zero-emission vehicle.
4 Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov
AN LAO BRIEF
amendment would add to
Figure 5
existing restrictions on the use
Transportation Spending Increases
of transportation revenues.)
(In Billions)
State Highway Programs
$2.0
The funding package 1.8
1.6
includes $1.9 billion annually
1.4
specifically for state highways. 1.2
1.0
This includes funding for:
0.8
• Maintenance and 0.6
0.4
Rehabilitation
0.2
($1.8 Billion).
State Local Streets Transit Trade and Otherb
Caltrans’ Highway Highways and Congested
Roads Corridorsa
Maintenance
Program performs a Programs can involve a combination of state highway, local street and road, and transit
projects.
minor maintenance b Includes active transportation program (for pedestrian walkways and bicycle paths), local
transportation planning grants, freeway service patrols, university transportation research,
(such as roadside
workforce development programs, agricultural and parks programs, and administration.
landscaping) and
major maintenance
The administration estimates the funding
(such as laying a thin overlay of
package will increase revenues for state
pavement) on highways that are in good
STIP projects by $33 million annually. (As
or fair condition, while its State Highway
discussed further below, STIP also funds
Operations and Protection Program
local road improvements.)
(SHOPP) delivers capital projects to
rehabilitate or reconstruct highways when
Local Streets and Roads Programs
they reach the end of their useful life.
The administration estimates that the The funding package includes about $1.8 billion
funding package will increase ongoing
annually specifically for local streets and roads. This
revenues for highway maintenance and
includes funding for:
rehabilitation by $1.8 billion annually,
• Maintenance and Rehabilitation
including $400 million specifically for
($1.7 Billion). The funding package increases
bridges and culverts. The funding package
revenues for local road maintenance and
does not designate revenues between the
rehabilitation by $1.5 billion annually, and it
two programs, leaving it up to the annual
distributes this funding to local jurisdictions
budget act. (Additionally, the legislation
according to existing statutory formulas
makes a $225 million loan repayment from
based on factors such as population and
the General Fund to the SHOPP.)
number of registered vehicles. The package
• Capacity Expansion ($33 Million). also sets aside an additional $200 million
The State Transportation Improvement annually for road maintenance and
Program (STIP) is the state’s program rehabilitation for counties that have enacted
for improving transportation systems, developer fees or voter-approved taxes
generally by increasing their capacity. dedicated specifically to transportation.
www.lao.ca.gov Legislative Analyst’s Office 5
AN LAO BRIEF
The California Transportation Commission Transit Programs
(CTC) is to determine how to allocate the
The funding package includes about
funds. (Additionally, the legislation makes
$750 million annually for three transit programs:
a $225 million loan repayment from the
• State Transit Assistance Program
General Fund to the local streets and roads
($430 Million). This program distributes
program.)
funding to transit operators based on a
• Capacity Expansion ($100 Million). The formula. The funds can be used for either
administration estimates the local share of operational support or to fund capital
the funding package’s revenues for STIP will projects based on local priorities. The
total about $100 million annually. (These administration estimates the funding
funds primarily support streets and roads package will increase state revenues for this
but in some cases could be used for transit program by about $430 million annually.
projects as well.)
Proposed Constitutional Amendment Related to Funding Package
Currently, the State Constitution places restrictions on the use and borrowing of certain state
transportation revenues. A companion measure to the transportation funding package, Chapter 30
of 2017 (ACA 5, Frazier), proposes to amend the State Constitution to place similar restrictions
on transportation revenues not covered by existing constitutional provisions. Additionally, the
measure adds to existing exemptions on certain transportation spending from counting toward
a constitutional spending limit. The measure will go before the voters in June 2018. Below, we
summarize its provisions.
Spending Restrictions. ACA 5 requires that revenues from the Transportation Improvement
Fee established in the transportation funding package only be spent on specified transportation
purposes. These purposes are researching, planning, constructing, improving, maintaining, and
operating public streets and highways and transit systems. ACA 5 also prohibits the state from
using Transportation Improvement Fee revenues to pay for debt service on state transportation
general obligation bonds authorized on or before November 8, 2016. Additionally, ACA 5 requires
that revenues from the diesel sales swap tax be restricted to transportation planning and mass
transportation purposes. (Currently, such revenues could be used for any general purpose.)
Borrowing Restrictions. ACA 5 restricts the Legislature from borrowing Transportation
Improvement Fee and diesel sales swap tax revenues, except in limited circumstances when the
General Fund is exhausted.
Spending Limit Exemptions. The State Constitution currently includes spending limits—
technically, appropriations limits—on the state and most local governments, known as “Gann
limits.” The Constitution exempts certain appropriations from these limits, including appropriations
from a portion of gas excise tax revenues and appropriations for capital outlay (including
transportation capital outlay). ACA 5 adds to these exemptions by excluding all appropriations from
revenues raised by the transportation funding package.
6 Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov
AN LAO BRIEF
• Transit and Intercity Rail Capital projects. (Proposition 1B of 2006 created
Program ($270 Million). This is a a similar program.) The administration
competitive grant program that awards estimates this program will receive about
funding to transit and rail capital projects, $310 million annually.
including intercity, commuter, and urban
• Solutions for Congested Corridors
rail projects, as well as projects for bus
Program ($250 Million). This is another
and ferry transit systems. The program
new program created by SB 1. Under the
requires projects to meet certain criteria,
program, Caltrans and local agencies can
such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
apply to the CTC to fund projects that
The administration estimates the funding
address transportation, environmental, and
package will increase state revenues for this
community access improvements within
program by about $270 million annually.
highly congested travel corridors. The
(Additionally, the legislation makes a
legislation sets aside $250 million annually
$256 million loan repayment from the
for the program.
General Fund to this program, with up
to $20 million of this repayment amount
available for local and regional agencies to Other Programs
plan for climate changes.)
The funding package includes about
$270 million annually for various other programs,
• Commuter Rail and Intercity Rail
including:
($44 Million). Senate Bill 1 creates a
new stream of revenues for commuter • Active Transportation Program
and intercity rail operations and capital ($100 Million). This program funds
improvements. The legislation splits bicycling and pedestrian improvement
funding equally between commuter projects. Funds in the program are
rail and intercity rail. The California allocated through competitive grants with
Transportation Agency is to develop half of the funds distributed to projects
guidelines to allocate funding among selected by the state, 40 percent distributed
eligible rail agencies. The administration to projects selected by large urban regions,
expects the funding package to provide and 10 percent for projects selected by
$44 million annually for both commuter rural and small urban regions. The funding
and intercity rail combined. package increases funding for this program
by $100 million annually.
Trade and Congested Corridor Programs
• Freeway Service Patrols ($25 Million).
The funding package includes a total of about Caltrans, the California Highway Patrol,
$560 million annually for two new programs to and local agencies jointly operate freeway
improve trade corridors and congested corridors. service patrols that remove disabled
These programs, which can support state highways, vehicles from state freeways in order to
local streets and roads, or transit, include: mitigate traffic congestion. Senate Bill 1
increases funding for this program by
• Trade Corridor Enhancements Program
$25 million annually.
($310 Million). Under this program,
Caltrans and local agencies can apply
for funds for corridor-based freight
www.lao.ca.gov Legislative Analyst’s Office 7
AN LAO BRIEF
• Local and Regional Planning spending new revenues. Most of these provisions
($25 Million). The funding package concern oversight of the new funding as well as
provides $25 million annually for a new certain aspects of Caltrans’ operations. Below, we
program of local planning grants. These
summarize each provision.
grants are to encourage local and regional
Sets Preliminary Performance Outcomes for
planning that further state goals.
Caltrans. Senate Bill 1 states legislative intent for
Caltrans to achieve five outcomes by the end of
• University Transportation Research
2027. Caltrans is to report annually to the CTC
($7 Million). Four University of California
campuses currently have transportation on its progress in meeting the outcomes. The
research centers. The funding package commission is to evaluate Caltrans’s progress
provides $5 million altogether annually for toward the outcomes and include any findings in its
these centers. Additionally, the legislation annual report to the Legislature. The five outcomes
appropriates $2 million annually to the are:
California State University to conduct
• At least 98 percent of state highway
similar research activity.
pavement in good or fair condition.
• Workforce Development ($5 Million). The
• At least 90 percent level of service for
funding package appropriates $5 million
maintenance of potholes, spalls, and
annually from 2017-18 through 2021-22
cracks.
to the California Workforce Development
Board to assist local agencies in promoting • At least 90 percent of culverts in good or
pre-apprenticeship training programs. fair condition.
These training programs are to focus on
• At least 90 percent of transportation
delivering certain projects funded by SB 1.
management system units in good
• Parks and Agricultural Programs condition.
($108 Million). The funding package sets
• At least an additional 500 bridges fixed.
aside the increased base gasoline excise
tax revenues from off-highway vehicles
Expects Caltrans to Operate More Efficiently.
and boats for the California Department
Senate Bill 1 requires Caltrans to implement
of Parks and Recreation for general
unspecified efficiency measures with the goal of
purposes. The administration expects these
generating at least $100 million annually in savings
revenues to total $82 million annually.
to redirect toward maintaining and rehabilitating
In addition, the legislation sets aside the
state highways. Caltrans is to report on these
increased base gasoline excise tax revenues
savings to the CTC.
from agricultural vehicles—estimated at
Creates New Independent Office of Audits
$26 million annually—for the California
and Investigations for Caltrans. This new
Department of Food and Agriculture.
office is responsible for ensuring Caltrans
I a and its contractors (including local agencies)
ncludes ccountabIlItyand
o p spend funding efficiently, economically, and in
ther rovIsIons
compliance with state and federal requirements.
The transportation funding package includes
The office is to report its findings annually to the
several other provisions beyond raising and
8 Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov
AN LAO BRIEF
Governor and the Legislature. The Governor is to 2011-12, on average. The State Controller’s Office is
appoint an Inspector General to oversee the office, authorized to perform audits to ensure compliance.
subject to Senate confirmation, for a six-year term. Additionally, cities and counties must submit to the
Modifies Approval Process for Caltrans’ CTC a list of proposed projects approved by the city
Biannual Proposal of Rehabilitation Projects. council or county board of supervisors.
Currently, the CTC reviews and approves Caltrans’ Other Provisions. Other major provisions in
proposed plan for rehabilitation projects every the legislation (1) create an Advance Mitigation
other year. The funding package alters the current Program at Caltrans to protect natural resources
approval process in a few ways, such as by requiring and accelerate project delivery, (2) require Caltrans
(1) CTC to allocate funds for capital outlay to create a plan to increase contracts awarded
support for each project phase and (2) Caltrans to to certain groups (such as small businesses),
receive the commission’s approval for changes to (3) require Caltrans to incorporate the “complete
a programmed project or increases in capital or streets” design concept into its highway design
support costs (above a certain threshold). manual, (4) require the Department of Motor
Establishes Requirements for Local Vehicles to confirm certain trucks are in
Governments to Receive Funding. To be eligible compliance with state air pollution standards as
to receive SB 1 funding for streets and roads a condition of registration starting in 2020, and
maintenance and rehabilitation, the legislation (5) prohibit state and local regulations requiring a
requires cities and counties to spend at least as truck to meet stricter air pollution standards for up
much on transportation from their unrestricted to 18 years after it is first certified for use.
funds as they spent from 2009-10 through
ISSUES FOR LEGISLATIVE CONSIDERATION
While SB 1 included specific funding maintenance as compared to rehabilitation. As
allocations to individual programs, it left some maintenance projects can help prevent more costly
implementation details up to future legislative rehabilitation projects in the future, the Legislature
and administration actions. On May 11, 2017, could consider allocating more funding to
the Governor released his May Revision budget maintenance to achieve long-term savings.
proposal for 2017-18, which addresses some Establishing Program Guidelines. Most of
implementation issues. We discuss these issues the programs funded through SB 1 already are in
below. Additionally, we discuss at the end existence. The legislation, however, creates a few
overarching issues for the Legislature to consider new programs, such as one for commuter and
regarding oversight and accountability. intercity rail and another for trade corridors. CTC
Allocating State Highway Funding. As and the California State Transportation Agency
previously indicated, one area where the legislation are tasked with developing guidelines for the new
does not explicitly allocate funding is between state programs. Nonetheless, the Legislature could
highway maintenance and rehabilitation programs. consider specifying in statute certain program
In his May Revision, the Governor allocates slightly requirements. In his May Revision, for example,
more funding from the new revenues to highway the Governor proposes trailer bill language for the
www.lao.ca.gov Legislative Analyst’s Office 9
AN LAO BRIEF
trade corridor program that establishes various Ensuring Oversight and Accountability.
program requirements, such as for 60 percent Though SB 1 establishes various long-term
of funds to support projects nominated by local performance outcome measures for highway
and regional agencies and 40 percent for projects conditions, the legislation does not include specific
nominated by Caltrans. mechanisms for holding the administration
Increasing Efficiency at Caltrans. As accountable for achieving these outcomes nor
described earlier, SB 1 includes several measures does it set interim benchmarks against which
to increase efficiency at Caltrans, such as by to measure the administration’s progress in the
creating a new Inspector General to find ways near term. To improve its oversight of the new
to improve the department’s operations and by funding, we encourage the Legislature to begin
setting an expectation for Caltrans to achieve now considering how to hold the administration
efficiency savings. As part of his May Revision, the accountable in the near term. For instance, the
Governor proposed an initial staffing plan for the Legislature could establish in state law interim
Inspector General’s office but certain key questions outcome measures against which to measure
remain unanswered, such as how the Inspector the administration’s progress in achieving the
General would select audits and investigations longer-term outcomes contained in SB 1. It
to perform. Additionally, the administration did also could consider consequences should the
not present a plan for Caltrans to operate more administration not achieve these interim outcome
efficiently and achieve the expected $100 million measures. For instance, the Legislature could
in savings (though its spending plan documents consider reprioritizing funding across programs
reflect the savings). One way our office in the past (such as from rehabilitation to maintenance) or
has recommended having Caltrans operate more enacting organizational or governance changes
efficiently is by reducing its capital outlay support to state transportation agencies to improve their
staff relative to the volume of capital projects the effectiveness (such as by further strengthening the
department delivers. The Governor’s May Revision authority of CTC to oversee Caltrans’ rehabilitation
takes a step in this direction by reducing capital projects by authorizing the commission to approve
outlay support staff, but it also leaves open the or reject individual projects, rather than an entire
possibility for staffing augmentations in 2017-18 program of projects).
after the enactment of the budget.
10 Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov
AN LAO BRIEF
www.lao.ca.gov Legislative Analyst’s Office 11
AN LAO B R I E F
LAO Publications
This brief was prepared by Paul Golaszewski and reviewed by Anthony Simbol. The Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) is
a nonpartisan office that provides fiscal and policy information and advice to the Legislature.
To request publications call (916) 445-4656. This brief and others, as well as an e-mail subscription service,
are available on the LAO’s website at www.lao.ca.gov. The LAO is located at 925 L Street, Suite 1000,
Sacramento, CA 95814.
12 Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov