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MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 7 (Public Safety)
MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 7 (Public Safety)
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September 7, 2023
MOU
Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 7 (Protective Services and Public
Safety)
On Saturday, September 2, 2023, the administration submitted to the
Legislature a tentative agreement between the state and Bargaining Unit
7 (Protective Services and Public Safety). This analysis of the proposed
labor agreement fulfills our statutory requirement under Section
19829.5 of the Government Code. State Bargaining Unit 7 consist of
employees whose work is related to public safety and includes
responsibilities such as protecting state lands and buildings, issuing
licenses or permits, and arresting individuals for violating penal or
administrative laws. As of July 2, 2023, employees represented by Unit 7
work under the terms and conditions of an expired memorandum of
understanding (MOU). Current members of Unit 7 are represented by the
California Statewide Law Enforcement Association (CSLEA). The
administration has posted on the California Department of Human
Resources (CalHR s) website the agreement ,
a summary
of the agreement, and a summary of the administrations fiscal
estimate for the agreement. The proposed agreement may go into
effect only after it has been ratified by the Legislature and a majority
of voting CSLEA members. (Our State Workforce webpages
include background information on the collective bargaining process, a
description of this and other bargaining units, and our analyses of
agreements proposed in the past.)
Background
Vacant Positions
Vacancy Rate Growing, Similar to Statewide
Average. A decade or so ago, the average state vacancy
rate hovered between 10 percent and 15 percent. Over the past few years,
the statewide vacancy rate has increased significantly such that the
average vacancy rate is now around 20 percent. Similar to this statewide
trend, Unit 7 also has more vacant positions today than it did several
years ago. Specifically, while 15 percent of Unit 7 positions were
vacant in 2018, 23 percent of Unit 7 positions were vacant as of July
31, 2023.
Compensation Study
The most recent Unit 7 compensation
study released by CalHR evaluated four occupational groups
represented by Unit 7: Detectives and Criminal Investigators, Forensic
Science Technicians, Police and Sheriff s Patrol Officers, and Public
Safety Telecommunicators. Together, these four occupational groups
account for 56 percent of Unit 7 members.
Study Found Two Occupational Groups Lag
Market The study found that Detectives and Criminal
Investigators as well as Police and Sheriff s Patrol Officers
represented by Unit 7 earn total compensation that lags the market by
17 percent and 49 percent, respectively.
And Two Occupational Groups Lead Market.
The study found that Forensic Science Technicians and Public Safety
Telecommunicators represented by Unit 7 earn total compensation that
leads the market by 34 percent and 5 percent, respectively.
High Voluntary Separation Rate for Two Occupational
Groups. The turnover rates for two occupational
groups Police and Sheriff s Patrol Officers at 11 percent and Public
Safety Telecommunicators at 10 percent are higher than the statewide
average of 8 percent. For both of these occupational groups, voluntary
separations were the leading cause of turnover. Specifically, voluntary
separations accounted for more than one-half of the turnover among Unit
7 Police and Sheriff s Patrol Officers and more than three-fourths of
the turnover among Unit 7 Public Safety Telecommunicators. This means
that state employees in these two occupations are more likely to choose
to leave state service without retiring and either seek employment with
another employer or exit the workforce.
Major Provisions of
Proposed Agreement
Term. The agreement would be in effect from
July 1, 2023 through June 30, 2026. This means that the agreement would
be in effect for three fiscal years: 2023 24, 2024 25, and 2025 26.
Provisions Related to Pay
General Salary Increases (GSIs). The
agreement would provide three GSIs over the course of the agreement,
described below.
3 Percent in 2023 24. Effective July 1,
2023, all Unit 7 members would receive a 3 percent salary
increase.
2 Percent in 2024 25. Effective July 1,
2024, all Unit 7 members would receive a 2 percent salary
increase.
2 Percent in 2025 26. Effective July 1,
2025, all Unit 7 members would receive a 2 percent salary
increase.
Special Salary Adjustments (SSAs) in 2023 24 Ranging From
4.82 Percent to 8.44 Percent. Effective July 1, 2023, the
agreement would provide specified classifications specified salary
increases ranging from 4.82 percent to 8.44 percent.
Top Step Pay Increases in 2023 24 Ranging From
2.5 Percent to 8 Percent. Effective July 1, 2023, the
agreement would increase the top step of the salary range of specified
classifications by a specified amount ranging from 2.5. percent to
8 percent. Employees who have been at the top step of their salary range
for at least a year would receive the pay increase immediately.
Educational Incentive Pay Differential.
Under the expired agreement, Unit 7 members who achieve specified
education levels or certifications are eligible to receive flat dollar
pay differentials ranging from $50 to $125. The proposed agreement would
change this pay differential to instead be a percentage of pay ranging
from 2.5 percent of base pay (or no less than $120) to 5 percent of base
pay (or no more than $240).
Longevity Differential to Non-Peace
Officers. Employees who are not designated under the Peace
Officer and Firefighter retirement plan would be eligible to receive a
longevity differential of a specified percentage of pay pursuant to a
schedule established by the agreement. The schedule would phase the
benefit in over the course of the agreement such that, by July 2026,
employees with 17, 18, or 19 years of service would receive a pay
differential of 2 percent of pay; employees with 20, 21, or 22 years of
service would receive a pay differential of 3 percent of pay; employees
with 23 or 24 years of service would receive a pay differential of
4 percent of pay; and employees with 25 or more years of service would
receive a pay differential of 5 percent of pay. This differential would
be considered compensation for purposes of calculating employees
pension benefits.
Various Other Pay Differentials. The
agreement would provide numerous pay differentials and other payments to
Unit 7 members who work under specified working conditions or meet
specified criteria. We do not include a summary of these provisions as,
in aggregate, they account for less than 3 percent of the new annual
costs under the agreement. Refer to the administration s summary or the
agreement itself for a summary of these provisions.
Health Benefits. The agreement would
increase the state s contribution to Unit 7 s health premiums in order
to maintain for the term of the agreement the current proportion of the
average health premium paid by the state.
LAO Assessment
Administration s Fiscal
Estimate
Agreement Would Increase Ongoing Annual Costs by More
Than $130 Million. As Figure 1 shows, the administration
estimates that the agreement would increase annual state costs by
$133 million by 2025 26. The administration estimates that extending
provisions of the agreement to excluded employees affiliated with Unit 7
(generally, managers and supervisors) would increase annual costs an
additional $24 million.
Figure 1
Administration’s Estimated Fiscal Effect of Proposed Unit 7 Agreement
(In Millions)
Proposal
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
General Fund
All Funds
General Fund
All Funds
General Fund
All Funds
General Salary Increases
$10.4
$26.9
$17.9
$46.1
$25.4
$65.6
Top Step Increase
9.6
20.6
9.6
20.6
9.6
20.6
Health Benefits
1.5
3.9
4.0
10.4
6.7
17.2
Special Salary Adjustments
2.1
11.0
2.1
11.0
2.1
11.0
Education Incentive Pay Differential
2.9
7.4
3.8
9.8
3.8
9.8
Longevity Pay Differential
0.5
1.4
1.5
3.8
1.8
4.7
Other Pay Differentials
0.5
2.6
0.6
3.4
0.6
3.4
Other Provisions a
0.3
0.6
0.5
1.1
0.5
1.1
Totals
$27.8
$74.3
$40.0
$106.3
$50.5
$133.4
a The administration assumes that a portion of these costs would not require a new appropriation from the Legislature.
Compensation Study
Voluntary Separation Rates Could Signal Retention
Problem. The high voluntary separation rates among Police
and Sheriff s Patrol Officers and Public Safety Telecommunicators
suggests that there could be a retention problem with state employees in
these classifications.
Pay Increases
Unit 7 Average Base Pay Slightly Lower Today Than 20
Years Ago. As Figure 2 shows, after controlling for
inflation, the average Unit 7 base pay has fluctuated significantly over
the past two decades. Despite this variation, however, in 2022, average
base pay was 1.5 percent lower than in 2002. We do not know the cause of
this variation; however, the trend could reflect shifts in the workforce
over time that affect the average salary rather than a reflection of
past pay increases not keeping pace with inflation. For example, we note
that the age distribution of Unit 7 members today reflects a younger
workforce than it did earlier in the period. Younger workers tend to
have lower average salaries given they have less tenure.
Proposed GSI in 2023 24 Close to Most Recent Inflation
Levels. The most recent (July) California Consumer Price
Index was 3.1 percent higher compared to the prior year. Since 2020,
however, prices have risen 17 percent. To the extent that the lower real
average base pay in 2022 is a reflection of past GSIs not keeping pace
with inflation, the tentative agreement s GSI in 2023 24 would maintain
wages, but would not catch up to prior price increases. Moreover, if
inflation remains elevated, state employees purchasing power likely
will be further eroded by the end of the agreement as the other GSIs are
lower. Alternatively, if inflation continues to fall, the GSIs could be
closer to the rate of inflation.
Administration Offers No Justification for SSAs or Any
Pay Increase. Unlike a GSI, which provides the same pay
increase to all classifications represented by a bargaining unit, an SSA
provides specified pay increases to specified classifications. While a
GSI can be justified by the rate of inflation, an SSA, on the other
hand, requires further justification as it singles out one
classification over another to receive a pay increase within the same
bargaining unit. That being said, it is not clear what methodology, if
any, was used to identify which classifications should receive SSAs and
at what levels. While there is evidence of possible recruitment and
retention issues of some Unit 7 occupations, the administration does not
provide a justification for the various SSAs, but states they are the
result of the bargaining process. Moreover, whether the longevity pay
would address these issues is unclear. The significant use of SSAs and
other pay differentials with no justification from the administration
reduces transparency and increases complexity of the agreement with only
days to review. This limits the ability for both the Legislature and the
public to understand why some state employee should receive higher pay
increases than others.
Duration
Standing LAO Recommendation: Do Not Approve Agreements
Longer Than Two Years. Since 2007 ,
we have recommended that the Legislature not ratify labor agreements
with durations longer than two years in order to maintain legislative
flexibility and authority to respond to changing economic situations. An
MOU establishes the state s employee compensation policies and locks in
state expenditures for the duration of the agreement. Though the
Legislature has authority to modify economic provisions of ratified MOUs
through its appropriation authority, in practice, it is difficult for
the Legislature to exercise this authority.
Uncertainty Makes Legislative Flexibility Even More
Important. By 2025 26 the last year of this
agreement General Fund revenues could be tens of billions of dollars
higher or lower than current estimates. There is significant uncertainty
about economic conditions by the end of this agreement. Inflation may
remain elevated, in which case the pay increases provided by this
agreement might not be sufficient to preserve employees purchasing
power. Alternatively, if inflation continues to fall, the state could
end up providing pay increases above the rate of inflation under the
agreement, resulting in the state potentially paying more than might be
necessary. Further, labor markets could remain tight or soften. While we
cannot say with certainty how these economic conditions will unfold, we
have advised the Legislature to remain cautious as key economic
indicators such as the treasury bond yield curve have signaled an
economic and revenue slowdown could be forthcoming.
Three-Year Agreement Locks-in State Costs and Limits
Legislative Flexibility. Although future addenda or side
letters may be established to address unforeseen issues that might
materialize during the term of the MOU, the addenda review process
established under Item 9800 of the annual budget act defers more
authority to the Governor than the MOU ratification process. A shorter
term allows the Legislature greater control over the state s
compensation policies.
Legislature s Role in
Bargaining Process
Legislature Is Ultimate Authority of Any Labor
Agreement. Under the Ralph C. Dills Act, while the
Governor negotiates terms and conditions of employment with bargaining
units, the Legislature retains the ultimate authority to approve or
reject agreements. The Legislature can reject an agreement either by
(1) rejecting a tentative agreement that is submitted to the Legislature
for ratification or (2) not appropriating sufficient funds to pay for
the terms of an MOU that the Legislature has already ratified.
Administration s Delivery of Agreement Does Not Allow for
Sufficient Time for Legislative or Public Review. The
administration submitted this agreement to the Legislature
after the budget committees met to discuss other proposed labor
agreements submitted near the end of the legislative session. Giving the
Legislature such a constrained review period to review a proposal with
such significant fiscal and policy implications is not acceptable. The
public including the members of the bargaining unit also should have a
greater opportunity to review the provisions of the agreement and
provide input to the Legislature.
Budget Change Proposals of Far Smaller Size Would Require
Justification From Administration, Legislative Deliberation, and Public
Scrutiny. If ratified and its provisions extended to
excluded employees, the agreement will increase state costs by more than
$160 million. When budget proposals of far lesser value are submitted to
the Legislature by the Governor during the budget process, they are
subject to public and legislative review for a period of weeks or
months, not days.
LAO Recommendations
Require Bargaining Cycle to Consider Legislative
Calendar. The parties regularly submit labor agreements to
the Legislature with a legislative deadline looming only days away. This
is a long-standing problem and is not unique to this administration.
This time constraint is unnecessary. The legislative calendar is public
and known far in advance. The legislative calendar and deadlines should
be built into the administration s planning such that the Legislature
has sufficient time to consider labor agreements. As we have recommended
in the past, we recommend that the Legislature adopt a standing policy
to reject (1) any agreement that affects the compensation of state
employees in the July pay period that is submitted to the Legislature
after June 2 and (2) any agreement that is submitted to the Legislature
fewer than two weeks before the end of session.
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