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The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan
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2025-26 BUDGET
The 2025-26 Budget:
Overview of the
Spending Plan
GABRIEL PETEK | LEGISLATIVE ANALYST
OCTOBER 2025
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2025-26 BUDGET
2 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
INTRODUCTION
Each year, our office publishes the California Governor. All figures in this publication reflect the
Spending Plan to summarize the annual state administration’s estimates of actions taken through
budget. In this publication we: provide an overview early July 2025, however, we have updated the
of the 2025-26 budget package, give a brief text to reflect actions taken later in the legislative
description of how the budget process unfolded, session. In addition to this report, we will release a
and then highlight the major features of the budget series of issue-specific, online posts that give more
approved by the Legislature and signed by the detail on the major actions in the budget package.
THE BUDGET PROBLEM
For the third year in a row, the state faced a This budget problem is slightly higher than the one
budget problem, or deficit. Although the budget addressed by the Governor in the May Revision
problem this year was smaller than in recent years (around $14 billion), and results from two somewhat
($15 billion this year compared to $55 billion in offsetting differences. First, compared to the May
2024-25 and $27 billion in 2023-24), addressing Revision, the final budget package assumed higher
this year’s budget problem required the state to revenues in major taxes by $1.1 billion, reflecting
adopt more ongoing solutions. In this section, we cash receipts to date, which have come in slightly
first present our estimates of the budget problem higher than the administration’s May estimates.
the Legislature addressed in the 2025-26 budget (This improves the budget condition.) Second,
package, focusing on the three-year budget these higher revenues are more than offset by more
window under consideration: 2023-24 through discretionary spending, which totals $4 billion in the
2025-26. Second, we briefly summarize the key final package, compared to $1.6 billion in the May
actions taken to address projected out-year Revision. (The difference between these two—over
deficits, and describe the administration’s $2 billion—increases the budget problem.)
June 2025 estimates of the state’s multiyear budget Actions Taken Last Year Reduce the Budget
condition under the enacted spending plan. Problem. In June 2024, the Legislature not only
What Is a Budget Problem? A budget addressed the budget problem for 2024-25 but also
problem—also called a deficit—arises when proactively adopted solutions intended to reduce
resources for the upcoming budget are insufficient the anticipated shortfall in 2025-26. At the time,
to cover the costs of currently authorized services. the June 2024 budget package included $28 billion
A budget problem is inherently a point-in-time in budget solutions for 2025-26, although savings
estimate that reflects information available at the from some of these actions have since diminished.
time of development, forecasts of future revenues Importantly, these budget solutions also included
and spending, and assumptions about which cost a planned withdrawal from the state’s rainy-day
changes reflect current law and policy (referred fund, the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA), of
to as “baseline changes”). When cost changes $7.1 billion. The June 2025 spending plan maintains
do not occur automatically under current policy, these actions, including the reserve withdrawal.
we classify them as either budget solutions or We provided further detail and updated estimates of
discretionary augmentations. these solutions in our January report, The 2025-26
Budget Package Addressed a Nearly Budget: Overview of the Governor’s Budget (see
$15 Billion Budget Problem. We estimate Appendix 1). These early decisions substantially
the Legislature addressed a nearly $15 billion reduced the size of the budget problem the
budget problem in the 2025-26 budget package. Legislature faced this year.
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2025-26 BUDGET
New Discretionary Spending Increases the As the figure shows, the budget primarily relies on
Size of the Budget Problem. Most of the reason borrowing to close the gap, representing about
that the state faces a budget problem is that the two-thirds of the total solutions. (We describe
underlying costs of state services continue to our use of this term in more detail below.) After
outpace the state’s revenue collections. However, borrowing, spending-related solutions, including
about $4 billion of the budget problem results from both reductions and fund shifts, total $5 billion
new, discretionary General Fund spending in the and represent nearly all of the remaining one-third
budget package, as well as some budget actions of the total solutions. (Revenue-related solutions,
adopted in a special session, which we describe totaling about $300 million, represent the small
in the box on page 16. (We define discretionary remainder.) Note that while the state is also making
spending as new spending or revenue reductions a $7.1 billion withdrawal from the BSA in 2025-26,
that were not previously authorized under current this withdrawal is not reflected in Figure 1 because
law or legislative policy.) Total discretionary General it was authorized in the 2024-25 budget package.
Fund spending (excluding Proposition 98) in the The remainder of this section provides additional
2025-26 budget package are listed in Appendix 1. detail on each category of solution. Appendix 2 lists
all the budget solutions.
HOW THE SPENDING PLAN
Borrowing ($10 Billion)
ADDRESSES THE BUDGET
The budget package primarily addresses the
PROBLEM
budget problem using borrowing—these solutions
The state has several types of solutions—or represent $10 billion or roughly two-thirds of the
options—for addressing a budget problem, but total solutions. We define “borrowing” as budget
the most important include: reserve withdrawals, actions that achieve savings in the present, but
spending reductions, revenue increases, and result in an obligation or higher cost for the state
borrowing (for example, loaning money from in a future year. (Until recently, we had used the
other funds to the General Fund). Figure 1 term “cost shift” [instead of borrowing] to describe
summarizes the solutions that the budget package these types of actions because they are not always
used to address the $15 billion budget problem. explicitly structured as loans or similar instruments.
However, we have found the term cost shift is
Figure 1 unclear for many readers and, as a result, can
obscure the fiscal implications of these actions.
How the Spending Plan Addresses the
Accordingly, we have adopted terminology that
$15 Billion Budget Problem
more transparently reflects the underlying nature
of these budget solutions, if not always their
precise mechanics.)
Spending- Major categories of borrowing in the
Related budget include:
Reductions
• Medi-Cal Maneuver ($4.4 Billion). Under
state law, the administration can transfer
funds to the Medical Provider Interim Payment
Fund Shifts (MPIP) Fund to help cover an appropriation
Borrowing deficiency in Medi Cal. These transfers
are capped as a percent of Medi Cal’s
-
appropriation. On March 12, the administration
-
notified the Joint Legislative Budget
Revenue-Related
Committee it had transferred $3.4 billion
General Fund (around the maximum allowed)
to the MPIP Fund to cover unanticipated cost
increases in Medi Cal. While this payment
-
4 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
has been made on a cash basis, the May will finalize its calculation of this obligation
Revision proposes that the state not recognize in May 2026. (In January and May, we had
it in the budget this year (instead, it would categorized settle up as a spending delay, but
be recognized over multiple years and fully upon further deliberation, we view this action
reflected by 2034). This maneuver essentially as borrowing.)
creates a loan from the state’s cash resources, • Middle Class Scholarships (MCS) Arrears
and a future obligation that is repaid when the Budgeting ($1 Billion). The budget package
state recognizes the payment that was already reflects $1 billion in savings by deferring
made. The final budget reflects a Medi-Cal recognition of MCS program costs from
maneuver of $4.4 billion. 2025-26 to 2026-27 on a budgetary basis.
• Special Fund Loans ($2.1 Billion). The However, on a cash basis, these costs would
spending plan includes loans from special still be paid in 2025-26 as they are incurred.
funds, which compared to other actions in Like other budget maneuvers, this creates
this section, are a more traditional form of a misalignment between the state’s cash
borrowing used to help balance the budget. position and its budgetary costs. Notably,
These loans are made on a budgetary basis this cost shift is intended to continue on an
from borrowable special funds with unspent ongoing basis—meaning costs incurred in
balances. The spending plan includes two 2026-27 would be recognized in 2027-28, and
types of these loans: $550 million in loans so on. Undoing this maneuver in the future will
allocated to specific funds ($150 million require the state to pay for two years’ worth of
from the Unfair Competition Law Fund and program costs in a single fiscal year.
$400 million from the Labor and Workforce • University Payment Deferrals ($274 Million).
Development Fund) and $1.5 billion in The budget defers University of California
unallocated special fund loans, authorized (UC) and California State University (CSU)
through Control Section 13.40. Through that payments that otherwise would have been
control section language, the Department of made in May to June or July. By shifting
Finance (DOF) is authorized to collectively payments to the next fiscal year, these
transfer $1.5 billion from various special funds deferrals create one-time savings in 2025-26.
to the General Fund during the 2025-26 year. Similar to other forms of borrowing, undoing
As of this writing, DOF is still working on these deferrals in the future (and reverting
identifying the list of those funds to borrow payments to their typical schedule) will require
from to achieve this target. the state to provide one-time back payments
• Proposition 98 “Settle Up” ($1.9 Billion). to the universities.
Proposition 98 (1988) sets a minimum funding
Balance of the State’s Outstanding Budgetary
requirement for schools and community
Borrowing Has Increased. The actions described
colleges based on formulas in the State
in this section increase the amount of outstanding
Constitution. The state makes an initial
borrowing the state has used to address its
estimate of this requirement when it enacts
budget problems. (This borrowing is similar to
the budget, then revises this estimate over the
the measures used during the Great Recession—
following two years to reflect updated data.
collectively previously referred to as the state’s “wall
The estimate of the requirement for 2024-25
of debt”—and create obligations that should be
is up nearly $4.7 billion (4 percent) from the
repaid or reversed in the future.) While the state has
June 2024 level, but the budget appropriates
various financial and accounting reports that allow
just over $2.7 billion in additional funding for
policy makers and observers to track a variety of
that year. Funding schools and community
the state’s outstanding liabilities, the administration
colleges at this level—$1.9 billion below the
does not produce an easily accessible, public
estimate of minimum requirement—provides
list of the state’s outstanding budgetary
temporary savings but requires the state to
borrowing incurred to address recent deficits.
settle up using future revenues. The state
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2025-26 BUDGET
We have provided this list in Figure 2. As shown to individuals with UIS by changing the payment
in Figure 2, the 2025-26 spending plan includes methodology for this population—resulting in about
nearly $10 billion in new borrowing, increasing total $1 billion in savings ongoing.
outstanding budgetary borrowing from $12 billion Fund Shifts ($3 Billion). Fund shifts are budget
to $22 billion. solutions that use other fund sources—for example,
special funds—to pay for a cost typically incurred by
Spending-Related Solutions ($5 Billion)
the General Fund. These shifts reduce expenditures
Reductions ($2.5 Billion). Under our definition,
from the General Fund as they simultaneously
a spending reduction occurs when the state
displace spending that these other funds otherwise
reduces spending relative to what was established
would have supported. As a result, we consider
under current law or policy. More colloquially, these
these to be a type of spending-related solution
are spending cuts. We estimate the budget package
because they typically result in lower overall state
includes about $2.5 billion in spending-related
spending, inclusive of all funds. We estimate the
reductions. Many spending reductions enacted as
budget package includes nearly $3 billion in fund
part of this year’s budget will increase over time,
shifts. The largest categories include:
such that spending reductions grow to $10.5 billion
• $1 Billion for California Department of
ongoing by 2028-29. For example, the budget
Forestry and Fire Protection (CalFire)
package freezes enrollment in Medi-Cal for the
Activities. The budget shifts $1 billion in
adult population with unsatisfactory immigration
costs for CalFire’s operational expenses
status (UIS)—an action that saves less than
from the General Fund to the Greenhouse
$100 million in the budget window, but increases to
Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF, which is
over $3 billion over time. The budget also includes
funded with auction revenues from the
unallocated operational improvements at the
state’s cap-and-trade program) in 2025-26.
Department of Health Care Services, Department
The budget agreement expresses intent to
of Social Services, and Department of Corrections
continue such a shift in the coming years to
and Rehabilitation, which the administration
provide additional General Fund relief but in
assumes will eventually yield over $1 billion in
differing amounts, depending upon the budget
ongoing savings. The budget package also
condition. Specifically, if the General Fund
reduces payments to clinics for services rendered
continues to experience deficits, the plan
intends that GGRF would cover $1.25 billion
Figure 2 of CalFire’s costs in 2026-27, $500 million
The State’s New Wall of Debt in 2027-28, and $500 million in 2028-29.
If the General Fund is not projected to be in
(In Billions)
a deficit in 2026-27, GGRF would only cover
Borrowing type Amount $500 million for CalFire in that year.
• About $300 Million for Various
Existing
Payroll deferral $1.6 Environmental Activities. The budget
Proposition 98 maneuver (cash borrowing) 6.4 package reduces about $300 million in
Special fund loans 4.0
planned General Fund support for nine
Total $12.0
categories of environmental activities—
Adopted in 2025-26 Budget Package
including dam safety, offshore wind
Medi-Cal maneuver (cash borrowing) $4.4
development, and wildfire resilience projects
Settle up 1.9
Special fund loans (unallocated) 1.5 at State Parks—and then provides at least
Middle Class Scholarships arrears budgeting 0.9 as much funding for similar activities from
Special fund loans (allocated) 0.6
Proposition 4, the climate bond authorized by
University payment deferrals 0.3
voters in November 2024. (In some cases, the
Total $9.6
bond-supported programs—and, therefore,
Total Outstanding Budgetary Borrowing $21.6
projects that ultimately will end up being
6 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
funded—may differ slightly from those that in ongoing spending solutions, and $300 million
might have been funded with the General in ongoing revenue increases. Nearly all of these
Fund. However, the general categories overlap spending solutions are reductions. The reductions
and were selected and proposed by the are largely concentrated in the health area, with
Governor as fund shifts.) ongoing solutions in Medi-Cal—the state’s Medicaid
program—reflecting about two-thirds of the total.
Reversions ($70 Million). Costs for state
(We describe the health-related budget solutions
programs sometimes come in lower than the
in more detail below.) In addition to the ongoing
amount that was appropriated. This often occurs,
solutions, the budget includes $20 million for
for example, when the state overestimates uptake
DOF to contract with consultants to assist and
in a new program or as a routine matter in programs
advise DOF on analyzing and creating process
where spending is uncertain due to factors like
improvements within state government. The overall
caseload. When actual state costs are below
aim of this effort is to find other areas of ongoing
budgeted amounts, a reversion occurs after a
savings for future legislative action.
period of time—typically, three years. The reversion
Multiyear Deficits Persist Under
returns the unspent funds to the General Fund.
Administration’s Estimates. Based on the
This year’s budget package accelerates some
administration’s June 2025 projections and
reversions that would have otherwise occurred in
assumptions, budget deficits are expected to
the future and proactively reverts certain funds that
persist despite the ongoing solutions included
otherwise are continuously appropriated (which
in the 2025-26 spending plan. Specifically, the
has the effect of realizing savings from the unspent
administration projects annual operating deficits
funds that would not otherwise occur). While not all
ranging from roughly $15 billion to $25 billion
of these amounts represent lower state spending
throughout the outlook period (see Figure 3).
over the long term, they do result in savings today at
These projected shortfalls represent future budget
a cost of forgone savings in the future. As a result,
challenges the Legislature would need to address.
we count them as spending-related solutions.
However, multiyear estimates—particularly
The budget package includes less than $100 million
revenue projections—are subject to considerable
in reversions.
uncertainty. Revenue estimates can vary by billions
Revenue-Related Solutions of dollars in the near term and by tens of billions
($300 Million) of dollars in later years. As such, these estimates
should be interpreted cautiously, as shortfalls of
Change in Tax Rules for Financial Institutions.
these magnitudes are far from guaranteed.
The spending plan changes the rules about how
taxable profits are determined for multistate
financial institutions. This change is assumed to Figure 3
increase revenues by $330 million in 2025-26 and
State Faces Future Budget Deficits
$250 million per year thereafter.
Under the Administration’s Estimates
MULTIYEAR BUDGET PROBLEM (In Billions)
The budget package has taken steps to
2026-27 2027-28 2028-29
partially address the state’s persistent multiyear
deficits. We describe those actions at a high level
-$5
in this section, and then provide an overview of
-10
the administration’s estimates of the out-year
-15
condition of the budget after accounting for these
-20
ongoing solutions.
-25
Ongoing Budget Solutions Total $11 Billion.
-30
The spending plan includes roughly $11 billion in
ongoing budget solutions, including $10.5 billion
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2025-26 BUDGET
BUDGET CONDITION
In this section, we describe the overall condition and 2025-26. In particular, from the BSA, the
of the General Fund budget, the condition of state has used $5 billion in 2024-25 and $7 billion
the school and community college budget, in 2025-26, bringing the balance to $11 billion
and state appropriations limit (SAL) estimates remaining at the end of 2025-26. The state
under the spending plan. As is the case in the already used the entire balance of the Safety Net
previous section, all of the figures here use the Reserve—nearly $1 billion—in 2024-25. Along with
administration’s budget estimates as of June 2024. the planned balance of $4.5 billion in the SFEU, the
state’s reserves total nearly $16 billion at the end
GENERAL FUND of 2025-26 under the spending plan. (The state
reserve for schools and community colleges is also
Figure 4 summarizes the condition of the
fully withdrawn by the end of 2025-26.)
General Fund under the revenue and spending
assumptions in the June 2025 budget package,
Revenues
as estimated by the administration. Under
Figure 5 displays the administration’s revenue
these projections, the state ends 2025-26 with
projections as incorporated into the June 2025
$4.5 billion in the Special Fund for Economic
budget package. As the figure shows, the
Uncertainties (SFEU). (The SFEU is the state’s
administration expects revenues from the state’s
operating reserve and essentially functions like an
three largest sources—the personal income tax,
end-of-year balance.)
corporation tax (CT), and sales and use tax—to
Reserves grow about 10 percent between 2023-24 and
2024-25. This primarily reflects strong stock
General Fund Reserves Nearly $16 Billion
market growth between June 2023 and June 2025.
Under Spending Plan. Although the state did
The spending plan anticipates negative growth
not withdraw any funds from reserves to address
in these three major sources from 2024-25 to
the 2023-24 budget problem, reserves have been
2025-26, primarily driven by the CT. In this case, the
used to address budget problems in 2024-25
15 percent decline is attributable to the expiration of
a policy that temporarily increased CT receipts.
Figure 4
Figure 5 reflects several tax policy changes,
General Fund Condition Summary
including an expansion of the state’s film tax credit,
(In Millions) a new partial tax exclusion for military retirement
income, and additional state low-income housing
2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
tax credits. In addition, “transfers and loans” in
Revised Revised Enacted
Figure 5 include transfers from the state’s rainy-day
Prior-year fund balance $51,769 $41,977 $35,145
fund, described elsewhere, as well as loans from
Revenues and transfers 195,879 226,745 215,733
the state’s special funds, which have been used to
Expenditures 205,670 233,577 228,366
Ending fund balance $41,977 $35,145 $22,513 partially address the budget problem.
Encumbrances $18,001 $18,001 $18,001
SFEU Balance $23,976 $17,144 $4,512 Spending
Reserves Figure 6 displays the administration’s June 2025
BSA $23,194 $18,291 $11,191
estimates of total state and federal spending in the
SFEU 23,976 17,144 4,512
2025-26 budget package. (The amounts displayed
Safety net 900 — —
Total Reserves $48,070 $35,435 $15,703 in the figure do not include some notable actions
Note: Reflects administration estimates of budget actions taken taken late in the summer legislative session,
through July 1, 2025. including appropriations of $3.3 billion from the
SFEU = Special Fund for Economic Uncertainties and BSA = Budget Proposition 4 climate bond and $540 million
Stabilization Account.
from GGRF, which we discuss later in this post.)
8 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
Figure 5
General Fund Revenue Estimates
(Dollars in Millions)
Revised Change From 2024-25
Enacted
2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Amount Percent
Personal income tax $115,166 $126,277 $125,962 -$316 —
Sales and use tax 33,339 33,706 34,862 1,156 3%
Corporation tax 35,456 41,696 35,613 -6,083 -15
Totals, Major Revenue Sources $183,962 $201,679 $196,437 -$5,243 -3%
Insurance tax $3,966 $4,177 $4,359 $182 4%
Other revenues 7,333 7,182 5,626 -1,556 -22
Transfers and loans 618 13,707 9,312 -4,395 -32
Totals, Revenues and Transfers $195,879 $226,745 $215,733 -$11,012 -5%
Note: Reflects administration estimates of budget actions taken through July 1, 2025.
As the figure shows, the spending
Figure 6
plan assumes total state spending
Total State and General Fund Expenditures
of $317 billion in 2025-26. This
is lower than the 2024-25 total (Dollars in Millions)
by 5 percent. Declines in state
Revised Change From 2024-25
spending this year are generally Enacted
2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Amount Percent
attributable to the state’s budget
problem and actions taken to General Fund $205,670 $233,577 $228,366 -$5,211 -2%
lower spending to address the Special funds 93,320 98,637 88,799 -9,838 -10
Budget Totals $298,991 $332,214 $317,164 -$15,050 -5%
budget problem. (The “Major
Bond funds $4,255 $5,720 $3,886 -$1,834 -32%
Features” section of this report
Federal funds 149,484 172,349 174,506 2,157 1
also describes some of the major
Note: Reflects administration estimates of budget actions taken through July 1, 2025.
discretionary spending choices and
budget solutions reflected in the local property tax revenue. Compared with
spending plan.) As of June 2024, federal funds are the June 2024 enacted budget level, the total
expected to be flat between 2024-25 and 2025-26, requirement is up $3.9 billion across 2024-25 and
but these projections do not include any potential 2025-26 (Figure 7 on the next page). This increase
effects of House Resolution 1: One Big Beautiful Bill primarily reflects a higher requirement in 2024-25
Act (H.R. 1), which was signed by the President on due to higher General Fund revenue estimates.
July 4. The box on the next page gives a high-level A decrease in the 2025-26 requirement partially
description of the major changes in H.R. 1 for health offsets this increase. The budget, however, funds
and human services programs, as well as some late an increase of only $2 billion over the two years.
session state responses. (The difference reflects the $1.9 billion settle-up
obligation the state will be required to pay in the
SCHOOLS AND COMMUNITY future.) Of this additional funding, the state General
COLLEGE BUDGET Fund covers $1.2 billion and local property tax
revenue covers $797 million.
Overall School and Community College
Fully Withdraws Proposition 98 Reserve
Funding Up $2 Billion. School and community
Balance. The Proposition 98 Reserve is a
college spending in California is governed by
statewide reserve account for school and
the rules of Proposition 98. The state meets the
community college funding. Constitutional formulas
Proposition 98 funding requirement through
and legislative actions determine the size of the
a combination of state General Fund and
deposit or withdrawal each year. The June 2025
www.lao.ca.gov 9
2025-26 BUDGET
House Resolution 1—One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Major Federal Changes to Health and Human Services Programs. Federal House
Resolution 1 of 2025 (H.R. 1)—the One Big Beautiful Act passed by Congress and signed by the
President in July 2025—introduced multiple, significant changes to states’ health and human
services programs. These changes primarily impact states’ Supplemental Nutrition Assistance
Programs (SNAP, known as CalFresh in California) and Medicaid (known and Medi-Cal in
California). California’s programs will be affected in a number of ways, including by tightening
eligibility, reducing federal funding for services and programs, and placing stricter limits on the
use of certain financing mechanisms. The H.R. 1 changes to these programs will be phased in
over multiple years, beginning in 2025 and continuing through federal fiscal year 2028.
State Spending Plan Actions in Response to H.R. 1. As part of the final 2025-26 budget
package, the Legislature provided modest funding and made some statutory changes in
response to the more immediate impacts anticipated as a result of H.R. 1. These legislative
actions were primarily administrative in nature—focusing on ensuring that (1) the state and
counties have the funding needed to implement the changes, (2) the computer systems and
staffing are positioned to operationalize the changes, and (3) actions are taken now to reduce
possible future federal fiscal penalties included in H.R. 1. It is important to note that, although
the final budget package did not include any funding to backfill any anticipated lost benefits for
individuals, it did provide some select augmentations for certain health and food programs in
response to H.R. 1 provisions. For example, the spending plan includes enhanced funding for
food banks and to help ensure access to abortion services.
Figure 7
Tracking Changes in Proposition 98 Funding
(In Millions)
2024-25 2025-26
Change From Change From Change
June 2024 June 2025 June 2024 June 2025 June 2024 Across
(Enacted) (Revised) Enacted (Enacted) Enacted Both Years
Proposition 98 Guarantee $115,283 $119,946 $4,663 $114,558 -$724 $3,938
Funding Allocated $115,283 $118,029 $2,746 $114,558 -$724 $2,022
By Source:
General Fund $82,612 $85,711 $3,099 $80,738 -$1,875 $1,224
Local property tax 32,670 32,317 -353 33,821 1,150 797
By Segment:
K-12 schools $101,121 $104,101 $2,979 $102,055 $933 $3,913
Community colleges 13,108 13,473 366 12,959 -149 217
Reserve deposit/withdrawal (+/-) 1,054 455 -599 -455 -1,509 -2,108
Funding Owed (Settle Up) — $1,917 $1,917 — — $1,917
10 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
budget package rescinds a $1.1 billion discretionary fiscal years. These savings allow the state to cover
deposit into this account in 2024-25. It makes a the cost of these increases in 2025-26. Entering
new mandatory $455 million deposit in 2024-25 2026-27, however, the savings expire and the state
and a mandatory withdrawal of this same amount will need to cover the $1.7 billion shortfall with new
in 2025-26. These actions together draw down the ongoing funds, ongoing reductions, or additional
entire balance. one-time actions.
Shifts Ongoing Funding From Community
Colleges to Schools. The state typically STATE APPROPRIATIONS LIMIT
divides Proposition 98 funding between schools Under Proposition 4 (1979), the Constitution
and community colleges using an uncodified limits how the state can spend revenues that
methodology known as “the split.” The exceed a certain limit—a set of formulas known
methodology involves allocating about 89 percent as the SAL. During the revenue surges in the early
of the available funding to schools and about 2020s, the SAL was an important constraint in the
11 percent to community colleges, with certain budget process and had significant implications
expenditures excluded from these percentages. for the Legislature’s budget decisions. For the last
The budget establishes a new exclusion, beginning few years, however, the SAL has not been salient
in 2025-26, for the costs associated with the recent to the budget process. This is because declines
expansion of transitional kindergarten. Compared in revenues have meant the state has more room
with the previous methodology, this modification under the limit. Figure 8 provides an overview of
shifts $233 million in ongoing Proposition 98 the SAL estimates in this year’s budget. As the
funding from community colleges to schools. figure shows, the state is expected to have room
Uses One-Time Savings to Cover Ongoing across all years in the budget window, including
Program Costs. The budget funds several $15 billion in 2023-24, $9 billion in 2024-25, and
increases for ongoing school and community $35 billion in 2025-26.
college programs, including
a 2.3 percent cost-of-living
Figure 8
adjustment (COLA). These actions
increase the cost of ongoing State Appropriations Limit (SAL) Estimates
programs beyond the ongoing (In Billions)
Proposition 98 funding level by
nearly $1.7 billion. To cover the gap, 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
the budget relies upon one-time SAL Revenues and Transfers $233.4 $258.6 $252.6
savings generated through Exclusions -106.6 -119.5 -120.5
Appropriations Subject to the Limit $126.8 $139.0 $132.1
three main actions: (1) deferring
payments from 2025-26 to Limit $141.5 $147.6 $166.9
Room/Negative Room $14.7 $8.5 $34.8
2026-27, (2) withdrawing funds
Excess Revenues? No
from the Proposition 98 Reserve,
Note: Reflects administration estimates of budget actions taken through July 1, 2025.
and (3) repurposing some unused
Proposition 98 funds from previous
www.lao.ca.gov 11
2025-26 BUDGET
EVOLUTION OF THE BUDGET
This section provides an overview of the 2025-26 true was that, in June 2024, the Legislature took
budget process. Figure 9 contains a list of the proactive steps to address the anticipated budget
budget-related legislation passed on or before problem for 2025-26. (These actions are described
July 1, 2025. at a high level earlier in this report.)
Governor’s Budget Included Discretionary
Governor’s January Proposal
Proposals That Used and Created Budget
January Budget Roughly Balanced. Governor Capacity. The Governor’s budget included
Newsom’s administration presented its proposed
discretionary proposals, which are those that are
state budget to the California Legislature on
not already committed to under current law or
January 10, 2025. At the time, both our office
policy, that both used and created budget capacity.
and the administration found that the underlying
In particular:
condition of the budget was roughly balanced.
• Savings Proposals Provided $2.2 Billion in
(In other words, we did not describe the budget as
Short-Term Budget Capacity. Some January
having a surplus or a deficit.) A key reason this was
proposals provided short-term budget
savings, creating more budget
Figure 9 capacity. These proposals
Budget-Related Legislation Passed on or Before resulted in $2.2 billion in General
Fund savings within the budget
July 1, 2025
window. This total included a
Bill Number Chapter Subject
proposal to provide $1.6 billion
Budget Bills and Amendments less in total funding for schools
SB 101 4 2025-26 Budget Act
and community colleges than
ABX1 4 1 Amendments to the 2024-25 Budget Act
the estimated constitutional
SBX1 3 2 Amendments to the 2024-25 Budget Act
SBX1 1 3 Amendments to the 2024-25 Budget Act minimum funding level for
AB 100 2 Amendments to the 2023-24 Budget Act and 2024-25, generating a future
2024-25 Budget Act
settle-up payment of the same
AB 102 5 Amendments to the 2025-26 Budget Act
AB 104 77 Amendments to the 2025-26 Budget Act amount. In addition, the January
SB 103 6 Amendments to the 2022-23, 2023-24, and budget increased revenues by
2024-25 Budget Acts
$300 million and shifted nearly
Trailer Bills
$300 million in General Fund
AB 116 21 Health
AB 118 7 Human services spending to the Proposition 4
AB 121 8 Education finance (2024) climate bond.
AB 123 9 Higher education
• Discretionary Proposals Used
AB 130 22 Housing
AB 134 10 Public safety $700 Million Budget Capacity.
AB 136 11 Courts The budget also included
AB 137 20 General Government
new discretionary proposals
AB 143 12 Developmental services
that used budget capacity by
SB 120 13 Early childhood education and childcare
SB 124 14 Public resources increasing spending or reducing
SB 127 15 Climate change revenues. These totaled roughly
SB 128 16 Transportation
$700 million, including nearly
SB 131 24 Public resources
$600 million in new spending
SB 132 17 Taxation
SB 141 18 California Cannabis Tax Fund proposals and $150 million in
SB 142 19 Deaf and disabled telecommunications program revenue reductions associated
Note: This figure includes budget bills and trailer bills identified in Section 39.00 in the 2025-26 with expansions to existing tax
Budget Act that were passed by the Legislature on or before July 1, 2025. Ordered by bill number.
expenditures and the creation of
new ones.
12 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
Governor’s May Revision in spending-related solutions, including reductions
($4.9 billion), fund shifts ($3.2 billion), and delays
In Spring, Revenues Exceeded Expectations,
($1.3 billion). A significant portion of these solutions
but Outlook for Future Growth Weakened.
were ongoing, and under the administration’s
Following release of the January budget,
forecast, their value would grow to $17.5 billion
revenues for the prior and current years came in
by 2028-29.
$6 billion above expectations, primarily due to
stronger-than-anticipated personal income tax May Revision Focused on Reducing Growth
collections, which were running $4 billion ahead in Medi-Cal. Reductions to the Medi-Cal program
of prior projections as of April. Ordinarily, such accounted for roughly two-thirds of the ongoing
collections would indicate a stronger revenue spending reductions proposed in the May Revision.
outlook. However, both our office and the These changes were intended to substantially
administration lowered our revenue projections slow the program’s projected cost growth in future
for 2025-26, with the administration revising its years. Under our estimates, the May Revision
forecast downward by $11 billion. Several factors proposals would have reduced Medi-Cal’s out-year
contributed to tempered revenue expectations for cost growth from about 9 percent (as our office
2025-26, including: the state’s stagnant economy, estimated in November 2024) to approximately
uncertainty about the sustainability of recent stock 1 percent.
market gains, and potential negative effects from
Legislature’s Budget
expanded tariffs.
The Legislature passed an initial budget on
Costs of State Programs—Particularly
June 13, 2025. The Legislature’s budget package
Medi-Cal—Exceeded Expectations After
differed structurally from the Governor’s May
January Budget. Compared to the Governor’s
Revision in two key ways. First, it included two new
January budget, the administration’s May
major actions to increase budget capacity. Second,
Revision estimated that baseline spending
it used that additional capacity to reject some of
(excluding Proposition 98 spending on schools
the Governor’s proposed spending solutions and to
and community colleges) was $12 billion higher.
fund other augmentations. We describe these major
This was an unusually large upward revision in
structural differences in more detail below.
spending for the budget window. The increase
was primarily driven by higher projected costs Legislative Actions Increased Budget
in the Medi-Cal program, which were estimated Capacity by $5 Billion. The Legislature’s
to exceed January levels by $10 billion over the budget package included two major actions that
three-year budget window. This increase was increased available budget capacity by a combined
largely due to higher-than-anticipated per-enrollee $5 billion. First, it expanded internal borrowing by
costs, reflecting a combination of factors such as approximately $2.5 billion. This included increasing
increased utilization of services, rising medical care the size of the Medi-Cal-related cash flow maneuver
prices, and expanded use of high-cost specialty by $1 billion and making a $1.5 billion loan from the
drugs. Although these cost pressures affect all state’s internal cash resources to the General Fund.
enrollee groups, the administration attributed a (The final budget maintained these actions, but as
significant share of the increase to higher costs of this writing, we understand DOF will administer
associated with individuals with UIS. this as a set of traditional special fund loans, rather
than one loan from the state’s cash resources. DOF
As a Result, a $14 Billion Budget Problem
is still working to identify the fund[s] that would
Emerged. Taken with other factors—such as
make these loans.) Second, the budget reduced
new discretionary spending proposals and lower
the 2025-26 year-end balance of the SFEU from
required General Fund spending on schools and
$4.5 billion to $2 billion, freeing up an additional
community colleges—the net effect of these
$2.5 billion in budget capacity. (The final budget
changes was the emergence of a $14 billion budget
reflected an SFEU balance at the same level of the
problem at the time of the May Revision. To address
Governor’s May Revision.)
this shortfall, the Governor proposed $9.5 billion
www.lao.ca.gov 13
2025-26 BUDGET
Legislative Budget Made Changes to May Budget Act Included Language That
Revision Solutions and Provided Targeted Placed Budget Contingent on Passage of
Augmentations. The Legislature used the SB 131. Control Section 37.00 of Chapter 5 of
additional budget capacity to modify several of the 2025 (AB 102, Gabriel) contained extraordinary
Governor’s May Revision proposals and to fund a language that made the entire state budget
limited number of augmentations. In the Medi-Cal contingent on the passage of SB 131, a trailer bill,
program, for example, the budget restored the by June 30, 2025. SB 131 appropriated funding for
asset limit to $130,000, rather than adopting the a homelessness-related program and contained
Governor’s proposed limits of $2,000 per individual a number of policy changes to the California
and $3,000 per couple. It also modified the Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). (The CEQA
Governor’s proposal to establish premiums for the changes are described in more detail in the section
UIS population by reducing the monthly premium on major features below.) After the Legislature
from $100 to $30, and delayed the proposed enacted Chapter 5 and Chapter 24 of 2025 (SB 131,
$1.1 billion ongoing reduction to Health Centers Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review), the
and Rural Health Clinics. Beyond Medi-Cal, the Legislature enacted Chapter 77 of 2025 (AB 104,
legislative package also rejected the Governor’s Gabriel), which repealed Control Section 37.00.
proposal to reduce UC and CSU by 3 percent
ongoing (instead deferring
payments to the universities but Figure 10
providing the cash earlier to offset
Budget-Related Legislation Passed After July 1, 2025
the effects of those deferrals) and
Bill Number Chapter Subject
rejected the Governor’s proposal
to cap overtime hours for In-Home Budget Bills and Amendments
Supportive Services providers. In AB 104 77 Amendments to the 2025-26 Budget Act
SB 105 104 Amendments to the 2021-22, 2023-24, 2024-25,
addition, the budget included a
and 2025-26 Budget Acts
limited number of augmentations,
Trailer Bills
particularly for the MCS program AB 138 78 State bargaining
and various housing and AB 144 105 Health
homelessness initiatives. AB 149 106 Public resources
AB 154 609 Climate disclosures
SB 119 79 Social services
Final Budget Package
SB 146 107 Human Services
The Legislature passed SB 147 744 Education finance
an amended budget act and SB 148 745 Higher education
SB 151 108 Early childhood education and child care
associated trailer bills on
SB 153 109 Transportation
June 27, 2025. The Legislature also
SB 155 649 California Civic Media Program
took some additional actions later SB 156 110 Labor
in the legislative session, which SB 157 111 Public safety
SB 158 650 Land use
are listed in Figure 10. The next
SB 159 112 Taxation
section of this report describes
SB 160 113 Background check
the major features of the final SB 161 114 State employment
budget package. SB 162 115 Elections
Note: This figure includes budget bills and trailer bills identified in Section 39.00 in the 2025-26
Budget Act that were passed by the Legislature after July 1, 2025. Ordered by bill number.
14 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
MAJOR FEATURES OF THE 2025-26 SPENDING PLAN
This section briefly describes the major spending $150,000 per college in each district. In addition
actions in the 2025-26 budget package, including to these discretionary grants, the budget funds
some actions that were taken as part of special several smaller grants for schools related to learning
sessions. We also discuss the programmatic recovery, teacher training and recruitment, school
features of the budget in more detail in a series of meals, and career technical education. It also funds
online publications. In the box on the next page, several smaller grants for community colleges
we also describe special session actions taken that focusing on other student support initiatives and
have budgetary implications. career technical education.
Implements Payment Deferrals. The budget
K-14 Education
reduces spending in 2025-26 by deferring
Funds COLA and a Few Other Ongoing
$2.3 billion in payments to 2026-27. Of this amount,
Augmentations. The state calculates the statutory
$1.9 billion pertains to schools. The state will
COLA each year based on a price index published
implement the school deferral by shifting a portion
by the federal government. For 2025-26, the
of the June 2026 payment to July 2026. The law
budget provides $2.2 billion to cover a 2.3 percent
exempts districts and charter schools that can
COLA for existing school and community college
demonstrate the delay would make them unable
programs. For schools, the budget also provides an
to meet their financial obligations. The remaining
ongoing increase of $607 million for the Expanded
$408 million in deferrals pertains to community
Learning Opportunities Program. (This program
colleges. The state will implement the community
funds before and after school activities and summer
college deferral by moving payments from May
enrichment.) This augmentation will increase the
and June 2026 to July 2026. The purpose of
share of districts qualifying for the program’s higher
these deferrals is to free up funding for additional
“tier 1” funding rate. For community colleges,
one-time and ongoing spending that would
the budget also provides $140 million to cover
otherwise exceed the available Proposition 98
2.35 percent enrollment growth across 2024-25
funding in 2025-26.
and 2025-26.
Health
Funds One-Time Discretionary Grants.
For schools, the budget provides $1.7 billion for the Adopts Ongoing Budget Solutions in
Student Support and Professional Development Medi-Cal, With a Focus on Undocumented
Discretionary Block Grant. Districts can use these Immigrants. To help address a multiyear budget
funds for any local purpose, but trailer legislation problem, the spending plan reflects a number of
encourages them to prioritize teacher training and ongoing budget solutions in Medi-Cal. The largest
professional development, teacher recruitment pertain to adults with UIS. The UIS population
and retention, career pathways for high school largely consists of undocumented individuals, but
students, and dual enrollment programs. The also includes certain lawful immigrants lacking
state will distribute funds on an equal per-pupil citizenship status. Medi-Cal services to this
basis (about $312 per student). For community population are relatively costly to the state because
colleges, the budget provides $60 million for they are eligible for federal funds in only limited
the Student Support Block Grant. Districts can cases. The UIS-related budget solutions mostly
use these funds for a range of student services, begin in 2026 and are estimated to result in over
including basic needs (such as food, housing, and $5 billion of General Fund savings by 2028-29.
transportation), financial aid, counseling, and job They affect several areas, including eligibility
placement activities. The state will allocate funds (a freeze on new enrollment for comprehensive
based on student headcount and the share of coverage), benefits (the end of dental coverage),
students qualifying for fee waivers or nonresident provider rates (lower payments to safety net
tuition exemptions, with a minimum grant of clinics for services to the UIS population), and new
www.lao.ca.gov 15
2025-26 BUDGET
Special Session Had Notable Budgetary Implications
This year, the Governor called a special session of the Legislature that had notable budgetary
implications. (The special session was initially called in November 2024, and then subsequently
amended in January 2025.) The measures approved in the special session provided funding for
(1) response and recovery costs related to the January 2025 Southern California wildfires and
(2) activities to address federal government actions impacting the state. Below, we provide a
high-level summary of these measures.
Funding for the January 2025 Southern California Wildfires. During the special session,
the Legislature added Control Sections 90.00 and 90.01 to the 2024-25 Budget Act providing up
to $2.5 billion one-time for response and recovery costs related to the January 2025 Southern
California wildfires. Specifically, the control sections authorized the Department of Finance (DOF),
through June 2025, to augment both General Fund and special fund appropriations for state
agencies to support activities such as emergency protective measures, sheltering for survivors,
assessment and remediation of post-fire hazards, and other actions necessary to protect persons
or property and expedite recovery. The control sections required DOF to publish expenditure
reports documenting the use of the funds. As of June 30, 2025, $335.9 million exclusively from
the General Fund had been allocated through the control sections by DOF for these purposes.
After the special session, the sections were amended to allow funds to be used to reimburse local
governments through June 2026 for (1) unmet response and recovery costs, and (2) lost property
tax revenue. DOF has not yet received official claims from all affected local governments, but
early estimates indicate expenditures for these purposes could be around $200 million across the
2024-25 and 2025-26 budget years. (Modified versions of Control Sections 90.00 and 90.01 were
also added to the 2025-26 Budget Act, extending the availability of these funds. For more on this
please see our forthcoming publication, The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions.)
Addressing Federal Actions Impacting the State. During the special session, the
Legislature amended existing Control Section 5.25 and also added Control Section 5.26 to the
2024-25 Budget Act, providing a total of up to $50 million one-time General Fund for legal and
administrative activities that address federal actions impacting the state. Specifically, up to
$25 million was made available through June 2028 for legal activities to allow the Department
of Justice (DOJ) and other state departments to defend the state against federal actions or
to challenge federal actions more generally. These funds are also available to allow state
departments to take administrative steps to mitigate the impacts of federal actions. DOJ is
required to report regularly on how these funds are used. The remaining $25 million was made
available through June 2028 for grants to legal service providers as follows:
• $10 million to the judicial branch for indigent civil legal services for individuals likely to be
impacted by potential or actual federal actions.
• $10 million to the Department of Social Services (DSS) for immigration-related legal services.
• $5 million to the judicial branch to supplement its existing contract with the California Access
to Justice Commission for legal services nonprofits generally.
The judicial branch and DSS are required to report to the Legislature on grant awardees.
(Details on similar ongoing funding included as part of the 2025-26 budget is discussed in our
forthcoming publication The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Judiciary and Criminal Justice.)
16 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
cost-sharing requirements (a new $30 monthly State Modifies University Funding Plan for
premium to access comprehensive coverage). Next Couple of Years. Under the Governor’s
Implements First Year of Proposition 35 compact with the universities, the Governor
(2024), With a New Limited-Term Budget intended to provide annual 5 percent base
Solution. In November 2024, voters passed increases through 2026-27. Instead of providing a
Proposition 35, which creates new rules over 5 percent base increase in 2025-26, the multiyear
how the state spends money from the managed budget plan includes intent to provide UC and
care organization (MCO) tax. A tax on health CSU each a 2 percent increase in 2026-27,
plan enrollment, the MCO tax historically has followed by a 3 percent base increase in 2028-29
helped support the existing Medi-Cal program. (both attributable to 2025-26). In 2027-28, the
Proposition 35 largely continues to use the state also intends to provide to a one-time back
associated tax funds to support Medi-Cal, but payment totaling $493 million to UC and CSU
with a greater focus on expanding, rather than (also attributable to 2025-26).
maintaining, the program. Accordingly, the Budget Includes Higher Financial Aid
spending plan includes an initial plan to implement Spending in the Current and Budget Years.
Proposition 35’s rules over the next two years. Specifically, for 2024-25, the package increases
The plan supports a number of ongoing and ongoing General Fund by a total of $187 million
one-time augmentations ($5.2 billion MCO tax from the June 2024 enacted level to cover
funds over two years), including provider rate higher-than-anticipated costs in the Cal Grant
increases and workforce initiatives. Some of the and MCS programs. From the revised 2024-25
supported provider rate increases are scored level, the budget includes a $243 million ongoing
as a limited-term budget solution to the General General Fund augmentation in 2025-26 to cover
Fund ($1.6 billion over 2025-26 and 2026-27). projected cost increases in the Cal Grant program.
This is because the state had previously planned For the MCS program, the state changes its
to cover the cost of the increases using General budgetary approach beginning in 2025-26—
Fund support. basically converting MCS from a typical categorical
program to an entitlement program funded one
Higher Education
year in arrears. Under previous state law, the state
State Defers Rather Than Reduces Base adjusted award coverage, as needed, to remain
University Funding in 2025-26. The budget within the annual state appropriation. Under the
defers $274 million General Fund for UC and CSU new rules, the state set MCS award coverage at
combined from May/June to July 2026, thereby 35 percent of remaining student financial need for
generating one-time state savings in 2025-26. 2025-26. The state is covering costs in 2025-26
The deferral equates to 3 percent of General Fund using a General Fund loan. On August 11, 2025, the
support for UC and CSU. The deferral takes the Governor issued an executive order authorizing a
place of earlier proposed ongoing General Fund loan of $996 million. The state intends to provide an
reductions (of 3 percent in the May Revision and associated budget appropriation in 2026-27.
7.95 percent in the Governor’s budget). The state
California Environmental Quality Act
offers UC and CSU short-term, no-interest General
Fund loans, if needed, in response to cash flow Budget Package Addresses State’s
challenges resulting from the payment deferrals. Long-Standing CEQA Policy. The budget
The budget plan does not specify when the state package included a number of notable policy
would provide a one-time back payment to retire changes aimed at speeding up and streamlining
these deferrals. Beyond General Fund support, CEQA, which was originally enacted by the
both UC and CSU are raising additional ongoing Legislature in 1970. Unless a project falls under a
revenue through increases in their tuition charges statutory or certain other type of exemption, public
and anticipated enrollment growth. The state agencies (such as cities and counties) generally
budget also includes a total of $157 million General must conduct a detailed study of the potential
Fund for one-time UC and CSU initiatives. environmental effects of new housing construction
www.lao.ca.gov 17
2025-26 BUDGET
(and many other types of development) prior to to fund VMT-reducing projects such as affordable
approving it. These studies, known as negative housing near transit stops. The Governor’s Office
declarations and environmental impact reports, can of Land Use and Climate Innovation is required
provide valuable information to decision-makers by July 2026 to issue initial guidance for this new
and the public and help to avoid unnecessary program, including providing details such as the
environmental impacts (pertaining to traffic, air methodologies for determining the amount of the
and water quality, and other matters). Yet, required fee and estimating the anticipated reduction in VMT
CEQA studies generally are time consuming and resulting from payment of the fee.
costly and the CEQA process can be used to stop
Recent Voter-Approved
or limit housing and other development. In addition,
CEQA’s complicated procedural requirements give Bond Allocations
development opponents significant opportunities Budget Contains First Allotment of
to continue challenging housing projects after local Proposition 2 Bond Funding. Proposition 2,
governments have approved them. approved by voters in November 2024, authorizes
Amends CEQA Requirements Pertaining $10 billion in state general obligation bonds for
to Various Housing and Other Development. school and college facilities. Of this amount,
The changes, which are contained in three budget $8.5 billion is for schools and $1.5 billion is for
trailer bills, include: (1) narrowing the scope community colleges. The 2025-26 budget package
of existing required environmental reviews for begins drawing down these bond funds. The
housing projects that meet all but one criterion budget assumes the state will award $1.5 billion
for an exemption from the CEQA process and for school projects, consistent with the state’s
(2) eliminating the requirement for CEQA review existing application processing rate. For community
entirely when local governments rezone (change colleges, the 2025-26 budget package authorizes
land-use restrictions for) neighborhoods to meet the preliminary plans and working drawings phases
their state-mandated housing goals, subject to of 29 new projects and the design-build phase
certain restrictions. In addition, trailer bill legislation of 1 existing student housing project. The total
creates new exemptions from CEQA requirements Proposition 2 cost across all phases of these
for various categories of projects, including 30 projects is $863 million.
specified “infill” housing developments (such as Proposition 4 (Climate Bond). The
certain projects on vacant land within an urban budget package appropriates $3.5 billion from
area), farmworker housing, rural health clinics, day Proposition 4, the $10 billion bond approved
care centers, food banks, broadband deployment by voters in November 2024 for climate and
in a right-of-way, and advanced manufacturing environmental activities. This includes $181 million
facilities (with each exemption type subject to provided through actions taken in April to amend
various requirements and limitations). The trailer the 2024-25 budget (Chapter 2 of 2025 [AB 100,
bill legislation also makes some limited changes to Gabriel]) and $3.3 billion approved through
permitting rules for certain residential projects in Chapter 104 of 2025 (SB 105, Wiener). This total
the coastal zone. includes $1.2 billion for water-related activities and
Authorizes New Statewide Vehicles Miles $600 million for projects to improve the state’s
Traveled (VMT) Mitigation “Bank.” In addition, wildfire resilience.
the budget package creates a new option for
Cap-and-Invest Program Spending
developers to meet their transportation-related
CEQA requirements for projects. Specifically, trailer 2025-26 Spending Package Includes Over
bill language allows projects to mitigate their VMT $4 Billion From GGRF. The budget package
impact (at the discretion of the local public agency) assumes spending totaling $4.1 billion from GGRF
by paying a fee. Fee revenue is to be deposited in 2025-26. The bulk of these funds support
into a fund administered by the Department of existing statutory commitments—most of which
Housing and Community Development and used are continuously appropriated—such as for the
18 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE
2025-26 BUDGET
high-speed rail project and programs for housing, of 2025 (AB 1207, Irwin) extends the statutory
transit, forest health, and drinking water. As noted authorization for the existing cap-and-trade
earlier, 2025-26 GGRF spending also includes a program from 2030 to 2045, makes a number of
$1 billion backfill for CalFire’s operational budget changes to the program’s structure, and renames
in order to achieve General Fund savings while it “cap-and-invest.” Chapter 121 of 2025 (SB 840,
avoiding programmatic impacts. At the end of the Limón) revises the existing statutory allocation
legislative session, Chapter 104 of 2025 (SB 105, amounts that support particular activities, including
Weiner) appropriated an additional $540 million changing several from being set percentages of
from GGRF for a number of activities including GGRF revenues to fixed amounts. For example,
related to transit, zero-emission vehicles, and beginning next year, the high-speed rail project will
community air protection. receive $1 billion annually rather than 25 percent
Program Reauthorization Legislation Will of auction revenues. The legislation also reserves
Affect GGRF Allocations in Future Years. $1 billion annually from GGRF for the Legislature to
Separate from the budget package, the Legislature allocate based on its budget priorities each year,
approved legislation that will affect GGRF spending and expresses intent for particular activities to be
allocations beginning in 2026-27. Chapter 117 funded in 2026-27.
APPENDICES
Note: In the online version of this report, we decisions and budget solutions reflected in the
include a series of Appendix tables that have 2025-26 Budget Act.
detailed information on the discretionary spending
www.lao.ca.gov 19
2025-26 BUDGET
LAO PUBLICATIONS
This report was prepared by Ann Hollingshead with contributions from analysts across the office, and reviewed by
Carolyn Chu. The Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) is a nonpartisan office that provides fiscal and policy information
and advice to the Legislature.
To request publications call (916) 445-4656. This report and others, as well as an e-mail subscription service, are
available on the LAO’s website at www.lao.ca.gov. The LAO is located at 925 L Street, Suite 1000, Sacramento,
California 95814.
20 LEGISLATIVE ANALYST’S OFFICE