LHC
California Housing: Building a More Affordable Future
Read the report at Little Hoover Commission ↗
California Housing: Building a More
Affordable Future
Report #267 | March 2022
Milton Marks Commission on California State
Government Organization and Economy
www.lhc.ca.gov
LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION Dedicated to Promoting Economy
Pedro Nava, Chair
and Efficiency in California State
Sean Varner, Vice Chair
Government
Dion Aroner*
David Beier The Little Hoover Commission, formally known as the Milton
Asm. Tasha Boerner Horvath Marks “Little Hoover” Commission on California State Government
Cynthia Buiza Organization and Economy, is an independent state oversight agency.
Anthony Cannella**
By statute, the Commission is a bipartisan board composed of
Asm. Phillip Chen
five public members appointed by the governor, four public
Bill Emmerson
members appointed by the Legislature, two senators and two
Sen. Dave Min
assemblymembers.
Sen. Jim Nielsen
Janna Sidley In creating the Commission in 1962, the Legislature declared its
purpose:
FORMER COMMISSIONERS
WHO SERVED DURING THE ...to secure assistance for the Governor and itself in
STUDY promoting economy, efficiency and improved services in the
Asm. Chad Mayes transaction of the public business in the various departments,
Asm. Bill Quirk agencies and instrumentalities of the executive branch of
Sen. Richard Roth the state government, and in making the operation of all
Cathy Schwamberger† state departments, agencies and instrumentalities, and
all expenditures of public funds, more directly responsive
*Served on study subcommittee
to the wishes of the people as expressed by their elected
**Did not serve during this study
representatives...
†Served as subcommittee chair
The Commission fulfills this charge by listening to the public,
COMMISSION STAFF
consulting with the experts and conferring with the wise. In the
Ethan Rarick, Executive Director
course of its investigations, the Commission typically empanels
Tamar Foster, Deputy Executive
advisory committees, conducts public hearings and visits government
Director
operations in action.
Krystal Beckham
Ashley Hurley Its conclusions are submitted to the Governor and the Legislature
Rachel Mattioli for their consideration. Recommendations often take the form of
Sayed Murad legislation, which the Commission supports through the legislative
Sherry McAlister process.
Tristan Stein
Contacting the Commission
All correspondence should be addressed to the Commission Office:
Little Hoover Commission
925 L Street, Suite 805, Sacramento, CA 95814
(916) 445-2125 | LittleHoover@lhc.ca.gov
This report is available from the Commission’s website at www.lhc.ca.gov.
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................3
INTRODUCTION .................................................................................5
THE PROBLEM ....................................................................................5
RECOMMENDATIONS AND DISCUSSION .......................................5
RECOMMENDATION 1: FOCUS ON AFFORDABLE HOME
OWNERSHIP AND INCREASE SUPPLY .............................................8
Affordable Home Ownership Requires Sustainable State
Investment .......................................................................................................9
RECOMMENDATION 2: CONSOLIDATE HOUSING
FUNCTIONS ......................................................................................10
Goals and the Policies to Achieve Them at Cross Purposes .....................11
Elected Leaders Must Have Shared Vision .................................................12
Consolidation .................................................................................................13
RECOMMENDATION 3: JUMPSTART AFFORDABLE HOUSING
PRODUCTION ....................................................................................13
Focused Working Group ...............................................................................13
Environmental Review..................................................................................14
RECOMMENDATION 4: FILL DATA AND ANALYSIS GAPS ............14
Data Gaps .......................................................................................................14
Technology .....................................................................................................15
Housing Policy Cannot Be Made with Anecdotes and Gut Feelings ........15
RECOMMENDATION 5: MEASURE PROGRESS .............................16
RECOMMENDATION 6: ENFORCE ACCOUNTABILITY ..................18
RECOMMENDATION 7: INVEST IN SHARED EQUITY
MODELS .............................................................................................19
CONCLUSION ....................................................................................21
NOTES ...............................................................................................22
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 1
Letter from the Chair
March 9, 2022
The Honorable Gavin Newsom
Governor of California
The Honorable Toni Atkins The Honorable Scott Wilk
Speaker pro Tempore of the Senate Senate Minority Leader
and members of the Senate
The Honorable Anthony Rendon The Honorable James Gallagher
Speaker of the Assembly Assembly Minority Leader
and members of the Assembly
DEAR GOVERNOR AND MEMBERS OF THE LEGISLATURE:
Last year, the Little Hoover Commission initiated a review examining how the state and local relationship can
be strengthened to increase the supply of affordable housing. The following report details the Commission’s
research and recommendations.
The Commission learned that California is short by two to three million homes to safely house its population. As
a result of a limited supply, many Californians find themselves paying record prices for housing while others are
priced out of the market entirely. The consequences of the state’s housing crisis are devastating. Many families
have plunged into poverty, Californians are being pushed further away from their jobs, and others are thrust
into crowded living conditions.
In this report, the Commission offers seven targeted recommendations to address the state’s housing crisis.
These recommendations are informed by the following themes: affordable home ownership, housing supply,
cooperation with local government, addressing historical inequities and preventing new ones, and actions state
leaders can take immediately.
Too often, steps to address the state’s housing shortage are impeded by a lack of political will or by Californians
themselves. The Commission’s recommendations seek to provide a pathway forward in tackling this pressing
crisis.
The Commission respectfully submits this work and standards prepared to help you take on this challenge.
Sincerely,
Pedro Nava, Chair
Little Hoover Commission
2 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
Executive Summary
Letter from the Chair
California is short by two to three million homes to
Consolidate Housing
safely house its population. As a result, Californians
Functions
are paying record prices for housing and far too
many are finding themselves priced out of the
The state’s housing departments are spread across
market.
four different agencies and divided under the
purviews of the governor and the state treasurer.
The implications of California’s housing crisis are
This organization is inefficient, resulting in confusion
devastating. The state’s poverty rate—when taking
over responsibilities, service gaps, and a disconnect
into account cost of living—is the highest in the
between state goals and policies. Multiple elected
nation. Californians looking for housing they can
leaders must share the same housing vision in order
afford are pushed farther away from their jobs, while
to create a statewide strategy, adding an additional
others are thrust into crowded living conditions.
layer of complexity.
Geography, population growth, policy choices, and
To help the state craft a better affordable housing
the behavior of institutional investors limit the
strategy and improve operations, California
availability of affordable housing. However, political
should consolidate housing functions. The state
will often stands in the way of tackling controversial
should also consider formalizing a strategic
issues to create long-term housing solutions.
working relationship—either by the Legislature or
Sometimes Californians themselves stand in the way
through MOUs among agencies—between the two
of development.
constitutional officers and the agencies they oversee.
In this report, the Commission outlines seven
Jumpstart Affordable Housing
recommendations that focus on issues that
policymakers can work on immediately to address Production
the state’s housing crisis.
The Governor should jumpstart affordable housing
Focus on Affordable Home production where it is needed most by treating
California’s housing shortage with the same urgency
Ownership and Increase
as the state’s wildfire crisis. This includes creating
Supply
targeted working groups to tackle logistical and
policy challenges within a defined period of time and
State funding for affordable housing traditionally has
building in CEQA flexibility to expedite projects.
focused on rental housing. While it is critical that the
state continue its support of renters, the Commission
Fill Data and Analysis Gaps
recommends that the state expand its affordable
housing strategy, both in policy and funding, to put California lacks key pieces of information that would
a greater focus on affordable home ownership. help state leaders better understand the housing
To avoid implementing a strategy this is counter- crisis and potential solutions. Where data exists, it
productive, this policy expansion must also include is not always clear how policymakers use it to make
an emphasis on increasing housing supply. housing more affordable, and antiquated technology
stymies progress. Technological problems are
magnified at the local level, where some smaller
jurisdictions struggle to afford useful technology.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 3
Using the best technology and methodologies
Invest in Shared Equity
available, California should identify data and
Models
analysis gaps. The state should transparently use
that information in its policymaking. Tools should
California’s long history of discriminatory housing
be shared with local governments either at cost or,
and property ownership policies has excluded groups
preferably, for free.
from home ownership. To make home ownership
more accessible to a greater share of Californians,
Measure Progress
the state should invest in shared equity housing
California’s process for determining how much and models, such as community land trusts. Under this
where housing needs to be built fails to account model, the government or a nonprofit subsidizes the
for how much housing, particularly affordable purchase of a home. In return, buyers agree to share
housing, is actually built. Furthermore, under the a percentage of the home’s equity with the agency or
current system, development is not planned where nonprofit that helped them purchase it.
it is needed and is planned in locations that defeat
To ensure the sustainability of its affordable housing
California’s climate goals.
investments, the state should specifically invest in
The state should reconsider how it measures local shared equity models that require the unit be sold
governments’ progress toward housing goals to at below-market prices. Furthermore, to ensure that
include how many units are actually constructed residents are not stuck with a tax bill they cannot
and how those units factor into California’s larger afford, the state should require these units to be
climate goals. It may need to reconsider the Regional taxed at their resale-restricted value.
Housing Needs Allocation process.
Enforce Accountability
The state lacks the tools it needs to effectively
enforce local governments’ housing plans. To bolster
enforcement under the current system, the state
should create and fund an ombudsman position
in every county with the authority to approve
affordable housing projects when a local jurisdiction
is noncompliant with its housing element.
To proactively enforce housing requirements, the
Governor should direct the Housing Accountability
Unit within the Department of Housing and
Community Development to develop reasonable
standards for when the state should sue
noncompliant localities.
4 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
Introduction
Many Californians think that the major housing policy problem is not lack of housing but
keeping California “livable” i.e. unchanged for those who already have (own) a home. People
who believe current laws and systems are working just fine, and that we should [consider] only
no-impact housing, or that local control dominates all other considerations in the housing
arena, oppose the types of systemic improvement in housing delivery proposed [in testimony].
To my neighbors who hold this view—yes, we live in wonderful place, but it is on all of us, in
every neighborhood, to embrace change and do our fair share to house the next generation
of Californians. If we refuse to accept the responsibility for the future of our children and
our workers, then our “Golden State” will be for the “golden people”--wealthier and older
homeowners who are cared for by a working underclass that is overcrowded, housing insecure,
unable to buy a home, commuting long distances, and not happy about it. This is not the
future California I want to leave to our children.
Denise Pinkston, Founder and President
The Casita Coalition
The Problem
California needs an additional 1.8 million to 3.5 The housing crisis results in Californians living farther
million homes to adequately house its population.1 away from their jobs, resulting in longer commutes
The Department of Housing and Community with more greenhouse gas emissions, and increased
Development called for the construction of 180,000 building in areas prone to wildfire and other natural
new units annually between 2015 and 2025 to close disasters. It has public health implications by forcing
the gap. Instead, the state has averaged around Californians to live in more crowded conditions
80,000 new units per year.2 Prices go up when and impacting the mental health of Californians
demand severely outpaces supply. vulnerable to losing their home.9 Further, housing
insecurity contributes to feelings of hopelessness
The consequences are devastating. California’s and social conflict.10
housing shortage has plunged many families into
poverty that otherwise wouldn’t be. California’s Recommendations and
poverty rate, at 11 percent, is on par with the Discussion
national average when cost of living is not taken
into consideration.3 When it is, California’s poverty The following themes inform the recommendations
rate skyrockets to 17.2 percent – the highest in the in this report:
nation.4 And in California, the cost of housing is the
primary driver of the cost of living.5 This means that ◊ Affordable home ownership. Existing state
programs primarily focus on helping the more
more than 2 million Californians join the ranks of
than 150,000 Californians without a home and
those living in poverty. On average, they spend 50
affordable rental housing.11 The Commission
percent or more of their income on housing.6 They
believes it is critical that the state continue its
must work an additional 50 days per year compared
support of renters but asks the state to expand
to average low-income Americans to meet basic
its affordable housing focus to include more
survival needs – food and shelter.7,8
affordable homeownership.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 5
◊ Housing supply. California’s primary method traditionally have been excluded from it. Further,
of helping homebuyers is with down payment it is imperative to avoid well-intentioned policies
assistance. Without more homes, this simply that lead to negative consequences, such as
results in buyers bidding up housing costs with displacement, going forward.
the state’s backing as they compete for the same
◊ Actions state leaders can take immediately.
homes.
Government agencies, academia, journalists,
◊ Cooperation with local governments. The state industry insiders, and private citizens have
makes laws, adopts statewide building codes, sets long sounded the alarm on California’s housing
goals, and provides financial assistance, while local shortage. The problem is political will, largely
governments decide “when, where, and to what informed by politicians’ constituents, particularly
extent housing development will occur.”12 These the ones who are talented at raising money or
separate functions highlight that cooperation is organizing votes for elected representatives – or
essential. their opponents. California’s leaders know which
controversial subjects must be tackled to create
◊ Addressing historical inequities and
long-term housing solutions and that these will
preventing new ones. California’s long history of
take time: CEQA reform, Proposition 13 reform, a
discriminatory housing and property ownership
sustainable funding source, and a larger industry
policies has had generational effects. The state
workforce, among others. This report focuses on
must acknowledge the long-term harm caused
less-controversial actions the state can work on
by these practices and invest in models of
immediately.
homeownership that reach Californians who
Figure A: The Cost of Housing in California Has Increased at a Faster Rate Than
Californians’ Incomes
Median California Home Price and Median California Household Income 1984-2020, in 2020 dollars (in thousands).
800
800
700
700
660000
550000
440000
330000
200
200
100
100
0
0
Median Home Price Median Income
Median Home Price Median Income
Source: St. Louis Fed Alfred Archival Economic Data. https://alfred.stlouisfed.org.
6 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
Figure B: The Consequences of High Housing Costs
The Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) outlines the consequences of California’s high housing costs in its 2015 report,
California’s High Housing Costs: Causes and Consequences. The many negative consequences include:
CROWDING
Californians are four times more likely to live in crowded housing than the average American. LAO
statistical analysis found a correlation between crowding and a metropolitan area’s median home
prices: As home prices go up, so does the likelihood of crowding.
This matters because research shows that those who live in crowded conditions suffer increased
levels of stress and aggression. Crowding weakens relationships between parents and children.
Research suggests that crowding results in sleep disruptions, with harmful repercussions.
Children living in crowded conditions have lower grades and test scores than their uncrowded
peers, and have more behavioral challenges in the classroom.
LONGER COMMUTES
In order to afford housing, more California workers have adopted the “drive until you qualify”
approach, increasingly living further away from their jobs. The LAO found that a 10 percent
increase in a metropolitan’s median rent is correlated with a 4.5 percent increase in individual
commute times.
HARDER TO RECRUIT EMPLOYEES
High housing prices mean that employers must pay higher wages to keep up with the cost
of living. Additionally, higher housing costs can make it more challenging to recruit talented
employees. In a Silicon Valley Leadership Group survey, nearly three-quarters of the C-Suite
respondents identified employee housing costs as the top challenge for the region’s employers.
STYMIED ECONOMIC GROWTH
Large cities typically have higher economic growth than other areas, but this has slowed due
to prospective workers not being able to afford to live in those cities. While we do not have
California-specific data, a joint UC Berkeley and University of Chicago study found that the United
States GDP is 13 percent lower than it would have been because of housing supply in large cities.
Source: California Legislative Analyst’s Office. March 17, 2015. California’s High Housing Costs: Causes and Consequences. https://lao.ca.gov/
reports/2015/finance/housing-costs/housing-costs.pdf
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 7
supply.13,14 The 2021-22 budget included $10.3 billion
Recommendation 1
for the planning, production, and preservation
California should expand its affordable housing of affordable housing.15 Governor Newsom has
strategy, both in policies and funding, to place a requested an additional billion in the FY 2022-23
greater emphasis on affordable home ownership. budget, largely to support infill development and
This policy expansion must include an emphasis redevelopment in cities.16 All of this funding is much
on increasing housing supply. needed, but it primarily has been one-time funding
and much of it reflects an unexpected budget
Governor Gavin Newsom and the Legislature deserve
surplus. Further, most state funding for affordable
credit for a historic commitment to affordable
housing traditionally has been for rental housing. The
housing. Governor Newsom’s first budget allocated
Commission believes the state should reorient its
$1.75 billion to increase affordable housing
focus to include more home ownership.
NIMBYism Mr. Falk could see where this was going. There
would be years of hearings and design reviews and
The largest obstacle to creating more affordable historical assessments and environmental reports.
housing, a reporter for the New York Times Voters would protest, the council would deny the
concluded, is sociological. He described the project, the developer would sue. Lafayette would
experiences and thought process of former get mired in an expensive case that it would likely
Lafayette City Manager Steve Falk in 2012-13: lose.
A developer had proposed putting 315 apartments Though Mr. Falk began his career as a local
on a choice parcel along Deer Hill Road — close control advocate concerned with maintaining
to a Bay Area Rapid Transit station, and smack in local character, he changed his views after
the view of a bunch of high-dollar properties. […] years of working with housing advocates then
Zoning rules allowed it, but neighbors seemed to watching his own children struggle to afford
feel that if their opposition was vehement enough, housing. His newfound support of Governor
it could keep the Terraces unbuilt. Brown’s threats to override local control in
affordable housing in general and the Terraces
In letters to elected officials, and at the open
development project in particular led to a public
microphone that Mr. Falk observed at the City
rebuke from the City Council, an offer of a
Council meetings, residents said things like “too
sheriff’s escort for the Terraces representative
aggressive,” “not respectful,” “embarrassment,”
to safely reach her car following a City Council
“outraged,” “audacity,” “very urban,” “deeply
meeting, and Mr. Falk’s resignation.
upset,” “unsightly,” “monstrosity,” “inconceivable,”
“simply outrageous,” “vehemently opposed,” “sheer Source: Conor Dougherty. February 13, 2020. Updated February
12, 2021. “Build Build Build Build Build Build Build Build Build
scope,” “very wrong,” “blocking views,” “does not
Build Build Build Build Build.” New York Times. https://www.
conform,” “property values will be destroyed,” and
nytimes.com/2020/02/13/business/economy/housing-crisis-
“will allow more crime to be committed.” conor-dougherty-golden-gates.html. Accessed August 10, 2021.
8 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
“Homeownership is affordable housing,” testified are considered cost-burdened.21 Approximately 1.6
Debbie Arakel, executive director for Habitat for million of those households are considered severely
Humanity California.17 She continued: cost-burdened, meaning they spend more than 50
percent of their income on housing.22 As a reference
California’s investment is too low on production
point, California’s top quartile of earners spend an
overall, but undisputedly nearly all affordable
average of 16 percent of their income on housing.23
production dollars go toward rental housing, with a
tiny percentage for affordable homeownership.
The state’s underinvestment
For example, between CalHFA and Housing and
in home ownership matters
Community Development […] only one program
because home equity is how
exists to support affordable ownership production,
the CalHome program. This is the one program most Americans build and pass
where nonprofit affordable developers such as
on wealth.
Habitat for Humanity, can compete for funds.
There are a few other programs that don’t explicitly
exclude ownership housing, but program criteria
A focus on affordable home ownership is counter-
are specifically designed around rental production
productive, however, without simultaneously
and the scoring follows suit. Unfortunately, the
increasing housing supply. California’s primary
CalHome program is underfunded and woefully
program for homebuyers is down payment
oversubscribed by millions of dollars. During the last
assistance. Without addressing the housing shortage,
award cycle, the program was oversubscribed by
Ms. Arakel testified, “The reality is that ‘would be’ low-
157 million [dollars], about three times the amount
income buyers can’t find homes for sale in their price
awarded.18
range and even with down payment assistance, they
are simply driving up the home price, competing with
The state’s underinvestment in home ownership
other low-income buyers.”24
matters because home equity is how most Americans
build and pass on wealth. The median net worth AFFORDABLE HOME OWNERSHIP REQUIRES
of an American homeowner is $255,000, while the SUSTAINABLE STATE INVESTMENT
median net worth of a renter is $6,300.19 Home California must create a steady funding source
equity particularly is important for low-income to accompany a new focus on affordable home
homeowners: It represents 81 percent of net wealth ownership. Former chief of HCD and California
for the bottom quintile of earners, whereas at the top Housing Finance Agency (CalHFA) Claudia Cappio
it comprises just 24 percent.20 testified that such funding “would enable the
development of a more stable, long term housing
Unlike rents, a standard fixed-rate mortgage will stay
investment strategy, particularly when coupled with
stable over time, freeing up more income for other
other state revenue streams such as bonds, budget
necessities, savings, and investment in the future as
allocations and tax credits. It would also minimize
the homeowner’s earnings, in theory, increase over
the boom and bust cycle of housing bond funding
time. A household that spends so much on housing
where HCD, in particular, has to massively ramp up
that it has difficulty affording other necessities is
personnel and administration to get the funding
considered cost-burdened. The threshold for this is
out and then ramp back down when the program is
30 percent of a household’s income, and 3 million
completed.”25
out of California’s roughly 13 million households
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 9
Figure C: From the California State Auditor: Housing Roles and Responsibilities
This graphic by the California State Auditor shows the primary agencies responsible for affordable housing and describes their roles. The
Little Hoover Commission has altered the image to indicate which state agencies fall under the governor (grey) and which fall under the state
treasurer (light blue).
Source: California State Auditor. Report 2020-108. “California Housing.” http://www.auditor.ca.gov/pdfs/reports/2020-108.pdf
that also work on housing. For example, the state’s
Recommendation 2
Domestic Violence Housing First program, which
The state should consolidate housing functions. helps survivors stay in their existing home or find
This would increase efficiency, create a seamless new permanent housing, is located within the
customer service experience, and help ensure Governor’s Office of Emergency Services.
that more Californians live in safe, sustainable,
The current organization is inefficient, results in
and affordable housing.
important service gaps, entrenches a disconnect
The state’s housing departments are spread across between state goals and policies, and requires
four different agencies. Additionally, the California multiple elected leaders to share the same housing
Department of Veterans Affairs (CalVet) provides vision to create a statewide strategy.
home loans to veterans. There are smaller programs
10 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
Ms. Cappio testified to the inefficiency of the infill development and reduce distances Californians
current organization by breaking down the agencies drive to work.27 However, dense infill development
responsible for three major tools of home finance often is opposed by current residents, who are
– debt, equity, and subsidy – as well as asset concerned about traffic, the loss of open space and
management, which involves monitoring the assets other issues. Furthermore, infill development is
each agency manages and reporting to state and often so expensive that only well-off Californians can
federal government primarily on physical condition, afford to pay market rates. Denise Pinkston, partner
tenancy, and financial audits. Figure D depicts her with San Francisco-based developer TMG Partners,
description. testified: “Modern mid-rise (4+ floors) buildings are
complex. They incorporate costly concrete parking
With similar functions spread across so many
structures and require generators, fire life safety
agencies, there can be confusion over responsibilities
systems, elevators, and full ADA systems that are
that results in service gaps. Ms. Arakel testified
not required for much lower density stick frame and
that HCD staff, “shared that their role is to promote
single-family homes. It costs over $700,000 PER UNIT
affordable housing which they interpret as rental
in much of California to build a mid-rise apartment
housing. Furthermore, they expected that CalHFA
home,” she explained.28
was fully addressing ownership housing needs.”
However, she testified, “CalHFA members expect that Consequently, local opposition to new housing
ownership production is being funded by HCD.”26 and the expense of infill development combine
to result in increasing numbers of homeowners
GOALS AND THE POLICIES TO ACHIEVE
living increasing distances from their jobs, which is
THEM AT CROSS PURPOSES
inconsistent with California’s climate change focus.
California’s leaders have made adapting to climate
A 2019 UCLA study on planned housing capacity
change a key policy priority. Toward that end, leaders
quantified this. Busy coastal metropolitan areas
have called for state housing policy to focus on dense
Figure D: Some Housing Functions Are Performed by Multiple Agencies
DEBT EQUITY SUBSIDY ASSET MANAGEMENT
CalHFA: California Housing Finance Agency HCD: Housing and Community Development Dept.
CDLAC: California Debt Limit Allocation Committee CSD: Community Services and Development Dept.
TCAC: California Tax Credit Allocation Committee CalVet: California Dept. of Veterans Affairs
Source: Claudia Cappio, Former Local Planning Official and Former Director, California Housing Finance Agency and Former Director, Housing and
Community Development (2011-2015). September 23, 2021. Written testimony to the Commission. Page 1.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 11
Figure E: UCLA Research Shows Mismatch Between Planned Housing Capacity and
Needs
Difference between population and share of statewide planned housing capacity share by region
Population and planned housing capacity share by region
Northern California
Population Planned
Region Difference
Share Capacity Share
Bay Area 20.3% 13.3% -7.0%
Central Coast 3.1% 1.7% -1.4%
Sacramento Central Sierra 0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Valley
Inland Empire 11.5% 17.5% 6.0%
Northern California 1.4% 3.6% 2.2%
Sacramento Valley 7.6% 9.1% 1.5%
San Joaquin Valley 10.6% 21.7% 11.0%
Southern Border 8.9% 8.3% -0.5%
Bay Area
Southern California 36.2% 24.1% -12.1%
Central
Sierra
Santa Clara
County
-2.2%
San Joaquin
Central Valley
Coast
Kern County
+7% San Bernardino
County
+3.2%
Southern Inland
California Empire
-5.6% -2.5% -1% 1% 2.5% 7% Los Angeles Riverside County
County +2.8%
-5.5%
Orange
Southern Border
California Regions County
-5.6%
IMAGE REPRODUCED FROM ORIGINAL SOURCE: UCLA. February 2019. “Not Nearly Enough: California Lacks Capacity to Meet Lofty Housing Goals.”
https://www.lewis.ucla.edu/research/california-lacks-capacity-to-meet-lofty-housing-goals/.
overwhelmingly are not planning housing that meets both are independently elected officials, a statewide
their population needs, while inland areas appear to strategy for affordable housing requires both officials
be planning for a population influx.29 to share the same vision for housing. To be clear,
the Commission is not remarking on the relationship
ELECTED LEADERS MUST HAVE SHARED
between the current governor and state treasurer,
VISION
but highlighting a structure that is difficult under
Housing functions are divided among agencies under
the best of circumstances. No matter how good the
the purviews of the governor and state treasurer. As
12 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
relationship between a governor and state treasurer, ◊ Requiring stakeholders to identify the areas
voters can change either or both of those office in which affordable housing is most urgently
holders every four years. It is challenging enough needed and, issuing executive orders if
to craft a decades-long strategy that will survive necessary, completing projects meeting those
policymaker turnover; adding another constitutional needs within a defined period of time.
officer to the mix makes it that much harder.
◊ Building in CEQA flexibility to expedite the
projects. At a minimum, the state should
With similar functions spread require CEQA challenges to be resolved within
a year – a provision it has adopted in the past
across so many agencies,
to quickly build sports arenas. A team should
there can be confusion over be assigned to monitor these processes,
identify pain points and best practices, and
responsibilities that results in
make recommendations to the Governor and
service gaps.
Legislature on how to roll this out statewide.
California’s housing shortage should be treated with
CONSOLIDATION
the same urgency as the state’s wildfire crises. The
At a minimum, the state would benefit from
difference between the two is that the devastating
functional consolidation across state agencies.
effects of wildfire on people, homes, the economy,
Consolidating the functions Ms. Cappio detailed at
and the environment can be seen immediately,
the beginning of this section would allow the state to
whereas similarly devastating effects caused by the
better create an affordable housing strategy, improve
housing shortage are slower to appear. Further,
everyday operations, and streamline the process for
wildfire does not discriminate, while wealthier
developers interested in affordable housing.30
Californians are able to distance themselves from the
immediate impacts of the housing shortage.
The state should also consider formalizing a strategic
working relationship between the two constitutional
FOCUSED WORKING GROUPS
officers and the agencies they oversee. This could be
The Commission urges the state to adopt for housing
done by the Legislature or through MOUs between
the model it uses to combat high-intensity wildfires.
the agencies. A sunset clause would allow for a
In it, state task forces assigned stakeholders from all
reassessment of how this has worked. Californians
levels of government and outside of government to
deserve the benefits that a cohesive strategy and
working groups identifying logistical and regulatory
consolidated functions would provide.
challenges and proposing solutions to create resilient
forests. Far from being death by committee, these
Recommendation 3
task forces had set goals, meetings, and deadlines to
report their results. Governor Newsom supercharged
The governor should jumpstart affordable
this effort by ordering CAL FIRE to identify potential
housing production where it is most needed by
projects in the areas of highest need, then
adopting the model used to attack California’s
declaring a state of emergency to complete the
wildfire crises. This includes:
35 identified projects within a year. This entailed
◊ Assigning key stakeholders to working groups suspending procurement rules, state statutes and
to tackle logistical and policy challenges
regulations, including CEQA (with the cooperation
within a defined period of time.
of the California Natural Resources and California
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 13
Environmental Protection Agency Secretaries), and over the nearly three-year planning process. Lenders
adjusting workforce licensing requirements, among pulled their funding commitments because the
other provisions.31,32 developer could not prove that it could repay them
under the new market conditions, and the project
The Commission believes a similar approach would
died.34
galvanize state efforts to combat the affordable
housing crisis. It suggests using the UC Berkeley Recommendation 4
Terner Center’s analysis of the costs of construction
as a starting point when creating working groups.33 California must identify data and analysis gaps
Funding to participating state agencies should be that prevent its leaders from fully understanding
increased to account for the additional workload, the housing crisis and potential solutions. It
while grants should be provided to organizations should collect and analyze that data using the
outside of state government so they can afford to best available technology and methodologies,
participate. and share those tools with local governments
either at-cost, or preferably, for free. Finally, it
ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW
should transparently use that information in
The Commission recommends the governor
its policymaking. Identified areas of concern
assign a team to monitor the impacts of relaxed
include development fees, mass home purchases
CEQA application. This team should create
by institutional investors, and the cumulative
recommendations for the administration and
impact of laws and regulations on the cost of
legislature on permanently adjusting those laws and
housing.
processes to hasten affordable housing production
while also protecting the environment. California has a data problem. While four different
housing agencies collect and report certain data,
The latter is necessary because CEQA often is used decision-makers lack key pieces of information that
beyond its original scope to kill housing projects. For would provide a complete picture of the housing
example, the Commission learned of a proposal that crisis and potential courses of action. Where data
would create 300 units of high-rise housing next to does exist, it is not always clear how policymakers
public transportation. The developer agreed to use use it to make housing more affordable. Additionally,
union labor and pay $20 million to the community some of the state’s own technology is antiquated and
to be used for affordable housing and mitigate the local governments do not always have the means
impacts of construction. The environmental impact to apply state-of-the-art technology to their data
review (EIR) process included 35 public hearings collection, planning, and implementation processes.
spanning two years. The proposed project was put on
DATA GAPS
the ballot twice, and both times the region’s residents
voted in favor of it. The city council approved the Development Fees. Development fees are an
project. After the project was approved, however, important example of missing data. No one has a
an individual filed an EIR lawsuit claiming the nearby complete list of fees and what they are used for
public transportation did not have the capacity to in every jurisdiction. The Terner Center conducted
accommodate the additional people the high-rise a seven-city analysis of development fees and
would serve, and that the EIR had not properly a 40-jurisdiction study on impact fees, a subset
analyzed this. The court rejected the lawsuit nine of development fees; their subsequent reports
months later, but the housing market had shifted described a shocking lack of transparency. Though
some cities provide an option to calculate some
14 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
or all development fees up front, in other major owned homes belong to individuals, and which
metropolitan areas, such as Oakland and Los are owned by institutions. In 2018, the Legislature
Angeles, developers only learn what fees were enacted a law that would require a registry of the
charged when they’re billed after the project is largest institutional investors, but Governor Brown
complete.35 These types of fees can add more than vetoed it, saying that a database would not stop the
$150,000 to the cost of a home on top of land, labor, problem.39,40 A second attempt that also included a
materials, and other expenses.36 State government tax died in committee in 2021.41
cannot combat the housing crisis without knowing
The Commission believes that additional data is
how much it actually costs to build housing.
needed to assess this problem. In order to craft a
Institutional Investors. Another important example policy solution, the state must first know the size and
of missing data is the impact of institutional investor scope of the problem.
home purchases on the housing crisis. Since the
TECHNOLOGY
Great Recession, financial institutions have snapped
The state needs to upgrade some of its housing-
up single-family homes worldwide to rent or hold
related technology. Former state housing director
onto until property values increase. They first
Ben Metcalf testified that the state’s current IT
targeted foreclosed homes, though since then many
platform for tracking local government housing
have developed systems to evaluate all homes on
element compliance – the Housing Element Tracking
the market. It is difficult for individual homebuyers
Systems – is antiquated. The system “does not
to compete with institutions. One company prides
currently offer a robust system for tracking and
itself on being able to analyze all homes in a targeted
flagging failures of cities and counties to achieve the
area within 15 minutes of appearing on the Multiple
programmatic commitments incorporated into their
Listing Service, and make a cash offer on homes that
Housing Elements.”42
meet its criteria within two hours.37
The state’s technological problems are magnified
State government cannot at the local level, where many smaller jurisdictions
struggle to pay for software and other helpful
combat the housing crisis
technology. At a minimum, the state should use its
without knowing how much it bulk purchasing power to buy tools, such as GIS
software licenses, at a lower cost than a small local
actually costs to build housing.
government would be able to negotiate on its own,
then provide it at-cost to local jurisdictions. However,
The extent of institutional investment and the impact because local governments are instrumental in
of the state’s housing market is controversial, with facilitating housing, and the housing shortage is so
some saying it is a serious problem and others severe, the Commission believes California would
saying there are so few investor-owned homes that be best served if the state completely subsidized
it doesn’t warrant policymaker attention. Part of the appropriate technology for local governments.
problem is that county assessor information isn’t very
HOUSING POLICY CANNOT BE MADE WITH
useful in determining who owns a home: Many older
ANECDOTES AND GUT FEELINGS
homeowners place their home in a trust to make it
Once the state has good data, it must use it
easier for their children to inherit, and it is common
effectively in making policy. An important area where
for smaller landlords to incorporate as LLCs.38 There
the intersection of data and technology can aid
is no easy way to separate out which corporation-
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 15
decision-making is the cumulative impact of laws and individual jurisdictions, and those jurisdictions
regulations on housing development. “Estimating must prove in the housing element portion of their
the likely impact of specific housing policy changes General Plan that they have “adequate capacity of
has historically been an anecdotal undertaking,” Mr. developable sites” to meet their share. There is no
Metcalf testified. “To the extent analyses of specific standardized definition of adequate capacity.46
housing regulations have been modelled, such as
housing impact fees or parking requirements, such
A housing allocation process
models typically focus on one policy at a time. In
that fails to account for how
reality, land use and housing policies interact with
one another to influence the likelihood of residential much housing is actually built
development.”43
is fundamentally flawed.
Mr. Metcalf described a tool created by the Terner
Center that aggregates the impact of housing policies
Missing from this process is accountability for how
down to the parcel level. Users can see changes
much housing, particularly affordable housing, is
under different market conditions. The tool allows
actually built.
users to understand the “likely probability of new
housing development under different scenarios” and
The advantage of the current system over focusing
the underlying constraints inhibiting development.44
on units built is that is that zoning is within local
Mr. Metcalf concluded, “Some policy interventions
jurisdictions’ control, whereas local governments
that policymakers and advocates prefer may yield
can’t force developers to build. Because a method of
counterintuitive results – sounding good in theory
measurement is easier, however, does not make it
but resulting in a trivial, or even negative, change in
useful.
developable parcels. While no model can perfectly
predict future development activity, policymakers’ A housing allocation process that fails to account for
decision-making processes should be based on the how much housing is actually built is fundamentally
best evidence and analysis available.”45 flawed. The state’s evaluation of local governments’
progress toward housing goals should include how
Recommendation 5
many units are actually constructed.
The state should reconsider how it measures local The state also should prioritize redevelopment and
governments’ progress toward housing goals to infill development to be consistent with larger climate
include how many units are actually constructed goals. Under the current system, development is
and how those units factor into California’s larger not planned where it is needed and is planned in
climate goals. locations that defeat California’s climate goals.
Figure G shows the process conducted by the state The state also must consider its own actions when
and regional governments to determine how much assessing those of local governments. If the state
and where housing needs to be built. This is called with all its resources cannot subsidize costly infill-
the Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA). In and redevelopment, how can it expect smaller local
short, HCD assigns each region an estimate of how governments to do so?
many units need to be built over the next eight years
to meet current population needs plus forecasted Higher-accuracy planning that focuses on
growth. Regions divide that estimate among development where it is needed and takes into
16 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
Figure G: Affordable Housing: The State and Local Process (A Layperson’s Guide)
HCD COG LOCAL
Determines Regional Housing Divvies up the housing GOVERNMENTS
Needs Assessment. needs among the Update Housing
HCD AND COG region’s individual
Element of general
Incorporate COG’s figures jurisdictions via the
plan to reflect new
into final Assessment. Regional Housing RHNA share, submit
COUNCIL OF Need Allocation
to HCD.
GOVERNMENTS (COG) (RHNA) Plan.
Prepares its own assessment
of regional housing needs.
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS LOCAL GOVERNMENTS HCD
Submit Annual Progress Adopt Housing Element as Reviews and certifies
Report (APR) to HCD and OPR. part of their General Plan. Housing Element.
HCD
Reviews APR as well
as any evidence that a
local government is
not in compliance with
the Housing Element.
HCD
(If non-compliant) Works with local government (If still non-compliant)
to attain compliance.
HCD
ATTORNEY GENERAL
Decertifies Housing Element and
No action required.
may notify Attorney General.
GLOSSARY
develop and manage conservation, housing, land use, open
Annual Progress Report: Annual reporting of a jurisdiction’s
space, noise, safety, and transportation.
progress in fulfilling its Housing Element.
HCD: California Department of Housing and Community
Assessment: The determination of how much housing and at
Development.
what affordability levels a region needs to meet the needs of
the people who live there. Housing Element: Component of General Plan that includes
an analysis of a jurisdiction’s housing needs for all income
Council of Governments (COG): City and county
levels and its plan to meet those needs.
governments within a region that meet to determine regional
housing needs. Local Governments: City and county governments.
Decertification: Local governments may lose control over OPR: Office of Planning and Research.
approval of affordable housing projects if stakeholders
pursue a court order. Regional Housing Need Allocation (RHNA) Plan: The plan
that outlines the new housing quantity and price points
General Plan: A local government’s blueprint on how it will assigned to each jurisdiction within a region.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 17
consideration the state’s actions likely would require when a locality is in noncompliance usually is
redesigning or scrapping the current RHNA process. to obtain a court order requiring the locality to
The first use of the current process began in 1969 issue the document. However, developers can be
after the state enacted a law requiring cities to plan reluctant to take local governments to court over
for their community’s housing needs at all income affordable housing because they will need to work
levels. More than 50 years later, California is short with them in the future on other more profitable
by two million to three million homes, the home projects. Further, California’s court systems are
ownership rate is at the lowest level since the 1940s, notoriously overwhelmed. To mitigate this, the
and housing costs have plunged more than two Commission recommends the state create in each
million Californians into poverty. The system must be county a housing ombudsman who has the authority
changed. to approve affordable housing projects until a
noncompliant locality is recertified. Because there are
Recommendation 6
several hundred jurisdictions throughout California
that can add their own building requirements to
The state should better enforce its housing
the state’s, these ombudsmen should be required
requirements by creating and funding an
to adhere only to the statewide codes set by
ombudsman position in every county with the
the California Building Standards Commission.
authority to approve affordable housing projects
Exceptions can be made for evidence-based local
when a local jurisdiction is noncompliant with
codes proven indispensable for health and safety.
its housing element. Additionally, the governor
should direct the Housing Accountability Unit
within the Housing and Community Development The state lacks the tools it
Department to proactively enforce housing
needs to effectively enforce
requirements and develop reasonable standards
housing elements.
for when a case should be brought to the state’s
Department of Justice to sue noncompliant
localities.
HCD has long enforced housing elements by writing
letters to cities cautioning them that their actions
The state lacks the tools it needs to effectively
might violate state housing law. It largely has relied
enforce housing elements. Though the Commission
on third parties to inform it of violations. The state
argues for reworking the current RHNA/housing
may sue localities violating its housing requirements.
element approach, in the meantime the state must
However it has only done so once in the past decade.
be able to enforce its current system. HCD may
Consequently, the Commission recommends the
decertify a housing element and notify the Attorney
department’s newly-created Housing Accountability
General, but a provision requiring the Attorney
Unit develop reasonable standards for when the
General to sue noncompliant localities was stripped
state should sue noncompliant localities. The state
from the decertification bill. A different bill that would
should focus its enforcement on jurisdictions whose
have given the state the power to fine noncompliant
annual rates of permitting are lagging. Whether
localities did not pass.47
a jurisdiction is lagging should be determined by
Decertification means a local jurisdiction loses comparing their permitting rate to their assigned
the ability to deny permits for certain types of targets, and by statistical models that use
affordable housing until it is back in compliance. comparable jurisdictions to predict an approval
The process to “automatically” receive a permit rate.48
18 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
limited certain areas to white residents.49 (In 2021,
Recommendation 7
Berkeley voted to eliminate single-family zoning.)
To help lower- and middle-income Californians
Government-sanctioned racism has been the norm
become homeowners, prevent displacement, and
since statehood, not the exception. Early laws
preserve its affordable housing investments, the
barred Asian people from owning land. Redlining
state should invest in shared equity models such
effectively limited the availability of mortgages to
as community land trusts. As part of this effort,
predominantly white areas. The state constitution
California should:
was changed to allow communities to vote on
◊ Place a particular emphasis on the whether publicly-funded low-income housing may be
participation of individuals from groups constructed there. In these and other ways, people of
historically excluded from home ownership. color have long been denied equal housing access in
California. Many laws were changed in the aftermath
◊ Tax all resale-restricted housing at the resale-
of the civil rights movement to remove explicitly
restricted value.
racist language from housing statutes, but racism
◊ Require state-funded shared equity housing
persisted in practice: Real estate agents directed
to be sold below market value in order to
buyers and renters to the “right” neighborhoods;
preserve the state’s affordable housing
lenders targeted people of color during the subprime
investment.
mortgage crisis; and even today there is evidence
that black-owned homes are appraised lower than
Groups that historically have been excluded from
white-owned homes when all else is held constant.50
home ownership or forced into low-value areas are
Today, about 63 percent of non-Hispanic white
hit particularly hard by California’s high housing costs
families own their home in California, compared to
because they have been denied the generational
36 percent of black households.51
wealth-building opportunities afforded to other
Californians.
The state can make housing accessible to a greater
share of Californians by investing in shared
The state’s racist history regarding home and
equity housing. In this model, the government or
property ownership is plain. One example is
a nonprofit subsidizes the purchase of a home,
Berkeley’s adoption of the state’s first single-family
allowing lower-income buyers to buy a home without
home zoning law. In the early 1900s, developer
taking on the risky mortgages that preceded the 2008
Duncan McDuffie built neighborhoods with racial
housing crash. In return, buyers agree to share a
covenants that prohibited people of color, a common
percentage of the home’s equity with the agency or
practice at the time. He worried about people of
nonprofit that helped them purchase it. The contract
color moving to nearby neighborhoods without such
between homebuyers and subsidizers delineates
restrictions, and was alarmed at the prospect of a
the formula that determines the resale value of the
black-owned dance hall moving to the area, as it likely
home. For example, the resell value of the home may
would attract black people. Working with like-minded
increase by three percent a year, with a homebuyer
civic leaders, in 1916, he successfully pushed for his
receiving a larger percentage if they make capital
city to adopt a single-family zoning law. That measure
improvements.
kept the dance hall out. Because racism artificially
depressed the wages of non-white workers, prices for
A critical benefit of the shared equity model is that it
single-family homes were above what most people
can help prevent displacement through gentrification
of color could afford, thus the zoning also effectively
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 19
Community Land Trusts: Hurricane Irma, and builds homes designed
to withstand future hurricanes on them. This
One Model of Permanent
could be a model for recovery following natural
Affordable Housing
disasters in California.
Community Land Trusts (CLTs) tackle the
Californians should be proud of how CLTs
most expensive component in California
already are working to extend homeownership
homebuilding: land. A nonprofit or government
to people traditionally excluded from those
organization buys land, puts it into a trust, then
opportunities: Nearly 80 percent of CLT
sells the homes on the land for below-market
participants in California are people of color.
value. The buyer agrees to resell it at a below-
market rate. The land underneath the home The success of resale-restricted housing
remains the property of the trust, which offers depends on taxes that reflect how much the
low-cost leases to homeowners. Homeowners home can be sold for instead of the market
typically are required to participate in the CLT’s value of nearby properties. Legislation largely
governance. has focused on reducing the tax burden for CLTs
serving low- and moderate-income people. The
CLTs are being used in innovative ways. Los
Commission commends this step but believes
Angeles-based Fideicomiso Comunitario Tierra
the state must go further. Given California’s
Libre helps residents in Boyle Heights and
housing costs, many people whose earnings
East Los Angeles at risk of being displaced.
exceed the definition of moderate income
Working with nonprofits, residents created
cannot afford a home and would benefit from a
the CLT, which has purchased empty lots and
shared-equity model with appropriate tax relief.
a multifamily building for affordable housing.
We recommend limiting the tax burden to the
Working with four other Los Angeles-area CLTs,
resale-restricted rates of all applicable shared-
they won $14 million from a Los Angeles CLT
equity models, not just CLTs serving low- and
pilot program to expand their work. In addition
moderate-income people.
to empowering residents to stay in their
community, the CLT has helped residents have a Sources: Fanny Ortiz, Co-Founder and Board Member,
Fideicomiso Comunitario Tierra Libre, and Treasurer,
voice in their community’s future.
California Community Land Trust Network. August 26, 2021.
Testimony to the Commission. Also, Leo Goldberg, Co-Director,
CLTs offer other opportunities. The Irvine
California Community Land Trust Network. August 23, 2021.
Community Land Trust helps the city meet Phone call with Commission staff. Also, Katherine McKeen.
climate change goals: It is building expensive February 17, 2021. “Community Land Trusts Get a California
Makeover.” University of Pennsylvania Law School. https://
infill housing designed to be affordable and
www.theregreview.org/2021/02/17/mckeen-community-land-
environmentally sustainable. A portion of
trusts-get-california-makeover/. Accessed February 23, 2022.
this housing is reserved to help Californians Also, Jessica Grannis. March 2020. “Community-Driven Climate
experiencing homelessness and mental Solutions: How Public-Private Partnerships with Land Trusts Can
Advance Climate Action.” William and Mary Environmental Law
illness. In Florida, the Florida Keys Community
and Policy Review 44:3 (2019-20). Pages 701-744.
Land Trust acquires properties destroyed in
20 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
pressures by helping residents purchase homes in result? Local governments impose development
the neighborhood in which they already live. Not fees on new construction, in some cases adding six
coincidentally, these are the same neighborhoods figures to the cost of each unit.53 Another example is
where many historically-excluded Californians CEQA, created to protect California’s environment. It
reside.52 has been weaponized by some not to protect critical
habitats, but to prevent construction that they would
Often, homeowners who receive government
find annoying.
assistance in purchasing their home later sell it at
the market rate. To ensure the sustainability of its Other factors also limit the availability of affordable
affordable housing investments, the state should housing. Worldwide, corporations are buying homes,
specifically invest in shared equity models that often in large lots, that they can later rent or flip.
require the unit be sold at below-market prices. A first-time homebuyer, often cobbling together
Further, the state should require these units to be financing from a variety of sources that could fall
taxed at their resale-restricted value; it does no good through, isn’t as attractive to sellers as a large
to assist a lower-income Californian to purchase corporation offering cash.
a home in an expensive metropolitan area if they
The cumulative impact of such laws, policies, and
receive a tax bill for the market value of the home.
behavior, plus conditions outside of Californians’
Finally, the state must take care to ensure that these
control, is that developers cannot build homes that
opportunities are presented to those who have
the median-income Californian can afford – even if
previously been hurt by discriminatory policies and
they were willing to sell at cost.
practices. While we cannot change the past, we do
have the power to change the present and future if
Finally, Californians themselves impede the
we so choose.
availability of affordable housing. Often referred
to as NIMBYs, meaning not in my backyard, these
Conclusion
Californians – typically existing homeowners –
California does not have enough homes to safely bemoan the state’s housing shortage but actively
house all of its residents. As a consequence of this oppose new development, particularly the affordable
limited supply, market-rate homes are unattainable kind, in their community. Some concerns deserve
for many Californians. serious attention, such as whether a community’s
infrastructure can keep pace with an expanding
To some degree, this limited supply is a result of population. Others are barely-concealed bigotry
increased demand caused by decades of population and selfishness. Homeowners often oppose more
growth. It is also sometimes the result of natural housing as they watch their own property values
conditions, such as limitations to the water supply increase due to limited supply. Still other people
or the fact that many large metropolitan areas in prefer their community exactly as it is. They do not
California are near the ocean and/or mountains. see it as their problem if the teachers, utility workers,
nurses, firefighters, and myriad others who serve
But the high cost of housing also is the result of
their community are not able to live there.
policy choices. Examples include California’s 1978
Proposition 13, which limits property taxes for It is, however, their problem. It is one for all
homeowners. In effect, the initiative stripped local Californians.
governments of revenue needed to provide the
services their constituents still demanded. One
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 21
Notes
1. California Department of Housing and www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/
Community Development, Division of Housing publications/2020/demo/p60-272.pdf. Accessed
Policy. February 2018. “California’s Housing February 17, 2022. Also, Sara Kimberlin and
Future: Challenges and Opportunities Final Esi Hutchful. California Budget & Policy Center.
Statewide Housing Assessment 2025.” Page 5. September 2019. Updated October 2019. “New
https://www.hcd.ca.gov/policy-research/plans- Census Figures Show Many Californians Struggle
reports/docs/sha_final_combined.pdf. Accessed to Afford Basic Needs.” https://calbudgetcenter.
February 17, 2022. Also, McKinsey & Company, org/resources/new-census-figures-show-many-
McKinsey Global Institute. October 2016. “A Tool californians-struggle-to-afford-basic-needs/.
Kit to Close California’s Housing Gap: 3.5 Million Accessed February 17, 2022.
Homes by 2025.” https://www.mckinsey.com/
5. Dan Walters. September 20, 2020. “High Housing
featured-insights/urbanization/closing-californias-
Costs Keep Californians Poor.” CalMatters.
housing-gap. Accessed February 17, 2022.
https://calmatters.org/commentary/2020/09/
2. California Department of Housing and high-housing-costs-californians-poor-poverty/.
Community Development, Division of Housing Accessed February 17, 2022. Also, SoFi. December
Policy. February 2018. “California’s Housing 2021. “Cost of Living in California.” https://www.
Future: Challenges and Opportunities Final sofi.com/cost-of-living-in-california/. Accessed
Statewide Housing Assessment 2025.” Page 3. February 17, 2022. Based on data from The
https://www.hcd.ca.gov/policy-research/plans- Council for Community and Economic Research.
reports/docs/sha_final_combined.pdf. Accessed ACCRA Cost of Living Index. https://www.coli.org/
February 17, 2022. (Paywall).
3. United States Census Bureau. September 14, 6. California State Auditor. November 2020.
2021. “Percentage of People in Poverty by State “California’s Housing Agencies.” Report 2020-
Using 2- and 3-Year Averages: 2017-2018 and 108. Page 9, Figure 3. http://auditor.ca.gov/pdfs/
2019-2020.” https://www2.census.gov/programs- reports/2020-108.pdf. Accessed February 17,
surveys/demo/tables/p60/273/PercentageInPov_ 2022.
state.xlsx. Accessed February 17, 2022. Part of
7. Sarah Bohn and Caroline Danielson. Public Policy
Income and Poverty in the United States: 2020.
Institute of California. November 2017. “Reducing
Available at https://www.census.gov/library/
Child Poverty in California: A Look at Housing
publications/2021/demo/p60-273.html.
Costs, Wages, and the Safety Net.” Page 5. https://
4. Dan Walters. September 20, 2020. “High Housing www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/r_1117sbr.
Costs Keep Californians Poor.” CalMatters. pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
https://calmatters.org/commentary/2020/09/
8. At current minimum wage of $15 per hour and an
high-housing-costs-californians-poor-poverty/.
8-hour workday.
Accessed February 17, 2022. Also, United
States Census Bureau. September 2020. “The
9. During the pandemic, crowded conditions have
Supplemental Poverty Measure: 2019. Appendix
posed a health risk for families, especially for low-
Table 5: Number and Percentage of People in
income people and people of color, who often
Poverty by State Using 3-Year Average Over:
live in the most crowded conditions.
2017, 2018, 2019.” P60-272. Page 29. https://
22 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
10. Denise Pinkston, Founder and President, The 16. California Department of Finance. Governor’s
Casita Coalition, and Partner, TMG Partners. Proposed California Budget 2022-23. Budget
August 26, 2021. Written testimony to the Summary: Housing and Homelessness. Pages
Commission. Page 9. Available on Commission 142-145. https://ebudget.ca.gov/2022-23/pdf/
website. BudgetSummary/HousingandHomelessness.pdf.
Accessed February 17, 2022.
11. Debbie Arakel, Executive Director, Habitat for
Humanity. August 26, 2021. Written testimony 17. Debbie Arakel, Executive Director, Habitat for
to the Commission. Page 10. Available on Humanity. August 26, 2021. Written testimony
Commission website. Homelessness data to the Commission. Page 6. Available on
from the United States Interagency Council Commission website.
on Homelessness. “California Homelessness
18. Debbie Arakel, Executive Director, Habitat for
Statistics.” https://tinyurl.com/mr3hnr25.
Humanity. August 26, 2021. Written testimony
Accessed February 17, 2022.
to the Commission. Page 10. Available on
12. Legislative Analyst’s Office. March 17, 2015. Commission website.
“California’s High Housing Costs: Causes and
19. Federal Reserve Bulletin. September 2020. Vol.
Consequences.” Page 15. https://lao.ca.gov/
106, No. 5. “Changes in U.S. Family Finances
reports/2015/finance/housing-costs/housing-
from 2016 to 2019: Evidence from the Survey of
costs.pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
Consumer Finances.” Page 11, Table 2. https://
13. Office of Governor Gavin Newsom. January 15, www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/scf20.
2019. “Governor Newsom Unveils Proposals to pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
Tackle Housing Affordability Crisis.” https://www.
20. Debbie Arakel, Executive Director, Habitat for
gov.ca.gov/2019/01/15/housing-affordability-
Humanity. August 26, 2021. Written testimony
crisis/. Accessed February 17, 2022. Also,
to the Commission. Page 6. Available on
Governor Gavin Newsom. January 15, 2019.
Commission website. Also, Joint Center for
Executive Order N-06-19. https://www.gov.ca.gov/
Housing Studies of Harvard University. “The
wp-content/uploads/2019/01/EO-N-06-19.pdf.
State of the Nation’s Housing 2015.” Page 17.
Accessed February 17, 2022.
https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/sites/default/files/
14. California Department of Finance. Enacted media/imp/jchs-sonhr-2015-full_0.pdf. Accessed
California Budget 2019-20. Budget Summary: February 17, 2022.
Housing and Local Government. Pages 73-74.
21. California State Auditor. November 2020.
https://ebudget.ca.gov/2019-20/pdf/Enacted/
“California’s Housing Agencies.” Report 2020-108.
BudgetSummary/HousingandLocalGovernment.
Page 10, Figure 3. http://auditor.ca.gov/pdfs/
pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
reports/2020-108.pdf. Accessed February 17,
15. California Department of Finance. Enacted 2022. Number of households data available at
California Budget 2021-22. Budget Summary: the United States Census Bureau. “Quick Facts:
Housing and Homelessness. Pages 93-96. California.” Population Estimates, July 1, 2021
https://ebudget.ca.gov/2021-22/pdf/Enacted/ (V2021). https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/CA.
BudgetSummary/HousingandHomelessness.pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
Accessed February 17, 2022.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 23
22. California State Auditor. November 2020. 29. Paavo Monkkonen and Spike Friedman,
“California’s Housing Agencies.” Report 2020-108. University of California, Los Angeles. February
Page 10, Figure 3. http://auditor.ca.gov/pdfs/ 2019. “Not Nearly Enough: California Lacks
reports/2020-108.pdf. Accessed February 17, Capacity to Meet Lofty Housing Goals.” Page 3.
2022. https://www.lewis.ucla.edu/research/california-
lacks-capacity-to-meet-lofty-housing-goals/.
23. Legislative Analyst’s Office. March 17, 2015.
Accessed February 17, 2022.
“California’s High Housing Costs: Causes and
Consequences.” Page 27. https://lao.ca.gov/ 30. Claudia Cappio, Former Local Planning Official
reports/2015/finance/housing-costs/housing- and Former Director, California Housing Finance
costs.pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022. Agency and Former Director, Housing and
Community Development (2011-2015). Written
24. Debbie Arakel, Executive Director, Habitat for
testimony to the Commission. Pages 1-2.
Humanity. August 26, 2021. Written testimony
Available on Commission website.
to the Commission. Page 7. Available on
Commission website. 31. Governor Gavin Newsom. March 22, 2019.
“Proclamation of a State of Emergency.”
25. Claudia Cappio, Former Local Planning Official
https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/
and Former Director, California Housing Finance
uploads/2019/03/3.22.19-Wildfire-State-of-
Agency and Former Director, Housing and
Emergency.pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
Community Development (2011-2015). Written
testimony to the Commission. Page 2. Available 32. There is controversy around whether those 35
on Commission website. projects met the Governor’s stated goals of acres
to be treated, though it is clear they did not. This
26. Debbie Arakel, Executive Director, Habitat for
is why the Commission recommends a realistic
Humanity. August 26, 2021. Written testimony
number of projects in a realistic timeframe. It
to the Commission. Page 11 Available on
should be noted that those projects did meet
Commission website.
their intended goal of protecting communities
from wildfire. Capital Public Radio provides an
27. Examples include: California Global Warming
excellent summary of the controversy here:
Solutions Act of 2006 (AB 32), Chapter 488,
https://www.capradio.org/articles/2021/06/23/
Statutes of 2006. https://leginfo.legislature.
newsom-misled-the-public-about-wildfire-
ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_
prevention-efforts-ahead-of-worst-fire-season-
id=200520060AB32. Accessed February 17, 2022.
on-record/.
Sustainable Communities Strategies (SB 375),
Chapter 728, Statutes of 2008. https://leginfo.
33. Terner Center for Housing Innovation, University
legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_
of California, Berkeley. March 20, 2020. The Cost
id=200720080SB375. Accessed February 17,
of Building Housing Series. https://ternercenter.
2022.
berkeley.edu/research-and-policy/the-cost-of-
building-housing-series/. Accessed February 17,
28. Denise Pinkston, Founder and President, The
2022.
Casita Coalition, and Partner, TMG Partners.
August 26, 2021. Written testimony to the
34. Denise Pinkston, Founder and President, The
Commission. Pages 5-6. Available on Commission
Casita Coalition, and Partner, TMG Partners.
website.
24 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
August 26, 2021. Written testimony to the legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_
Commission. Page 13. Available on Commission id=202120220AB1199. Accessed February 17,
website. 2022.
35. Terner Center for Housing Innovation, University 42. Ben Metcalf, Managing Director, Terner Center
of California, Berkeley. March 2018. “It All Adds for Housing Innovation, University of California,
Up: The Cost of Housing Development Fees Berkeley. September 23, 2021. Written testimony
in Seven California Cities.” Page 11. https:// to the Commission. Page 3.
ternercenter.berkeley.edu/wp-content/uploads/
43. Ben Metcalf, Managing Director, Terner Center
pdfs/Development_Fees_Report_Final_2.pdf.
for Housing Innovation, University of California,
Accessed February 17, 2022.
Berkeley. September 23, 2021. Written testimony
36. Terner Center for Housing Innovation, University to the Commission. Pages 2-3.
of California, Berkeley. March 2018. “It All Adds
44. Ben Metcalf, Managing Director, Terner Center
Up: The Cost of Housing Development Fees
for Housing Innovation, University of California,
in Seven California Cities.” Page 3. https://
Berkeley. September 23, 2021. Written testimony
ternercenter.berkeley.edu/wp-content/uploads/
to the Commission. Pages 2-3.
pdfs/Development_Fees_Report_Final_2.pdf.
Accessed February 17, 2022.
45. Ben Metcalf, Managing Director, Terner Center
for Housing Innovation, University of California,
37. Peter Whoriskey, Spencer Woodman, and Margot
Berkeley. September 23, 2021. Written testimony
Gibbs. December 15, 2021. “This Block Used to Be
to the Commission. Pages 2-3.
for First-Time Homebuyers. Then Global Investors
Bought In.” Washington Post. https://www.
46. Ben Metcalf, Managing Director, Terner Center
washingtonpost.com/business/interactive/2021/
for Housing Innovation, University of California,
investors-rental-foreclosure/. Accessed February
Berkeley. September 23, 2021. Written testimony
17, 2022.
to the Commission. Page 1.
38. Stan Oklobdzija. February 24, 2021. “Institutional
47. AB 1350 (Friedman). 2017. https://leginfo.
Investors in California Housing Markets.” https://
legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_
cayimby.org/institutional-investors-in-california-
id=201720180AB1350. Accessed February 17,
housing-markets/. Accessed February 17, 2022.
2022.
39. AB 354 (Calderon). 2017-18. https://leginfo.
48. Ben Metcalf, Managing Director, Terner Center
legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_
for Housing Innovation, University of California,
id=201720180AB354. Accessed February 17,
Berkeley. September 23, 2021. Written testimony
2022.
to the Commission. Page 3.
40. Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. September 27,
49. Erin Baldassari and Molly Solomon. October
2018. Veto Message. https://www.ca.gov/archive/
5, 2020. “The Racist History of Single-Family
gov39/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/AB-354-Veto.
Home Zoning.” KQED. https://www.kqed.org/
pdf. Accessed February 17, 2022.
news/11840548/the-racist-history-of-single-
family-home-zoning. Accessed February 17, 2022.
41. AB 1199 (Gipson). 2021. https://leginfo.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 25
50. Andre Perry, Jonathan Rothwell, and David
Harshbarger. November 2018. “The Devaluation
of Assets in Black Neighborhoods.” The Brookings
Institute. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/
uploads/2018/11/2018.11_Brookings-Metro_
Devaluation-Assets-Black-Neighborhoods_final.
pdf. Accessed August 10, 2021.
51. Manuela Tobias. May 17, 2021. “What California
Lawmakers Could Do To Boost Homeownership
For Black Families.” CalMatters. https://www.
capradio.org/articles/2021/05/17/what-california-
lawmakers-could-do-to-boost-homeownership-
for-black-families/. Accessed August 10, 2021.
52. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
Development's (HUD's) Office of Policy
Development and Research. Fall 2012. https://
www.huduser.gov/portal/periodicals/em/fall12/
highlight3.html. Accessed February 17, 2022.
53. Terner Center for Housing Innovation, University
of California, Berkeley. March 2018. “It All Adds
Up: The Cost of Housing Development Fees
in Seven California Cities.” Page 3. https://
ternercenter.berkeley.edu/wp-content/uploads/
pdfs/Development_Fees_Report_Final_2.pdf.
Accessed February 17, 2022.
26 | LITTLE HOOVER COMMISSION
Little Hoover Commission Members
CHAIRMAN PEDRO NAVA | Santa Barbara ASM. PHILLIP CHEN | Yorba Linda
Appointed to the Commission by Speaker of the Assembly Appointed to the Commission by Speaker of the Assembly
John Pérez in April 2013 and reappointed by Speaker Anthony Rendon in October 2021. Elected in November
of the Assembly Anthony Rendon in 2017 and again 2016 to represent 55th District. Represents portions of Los
in 2021. Government relations advisor. Former State Angeles, Orange and San Bernardino counties and the
Assemblymember from 2004 to 2010, civil litigator, cities of Brea, Chino Hills, Diamond Bar, La Habra, Industry,
deputy district attorney and member of the state Coastal Placentia, Rowland Heights, Walnut, West Covina and Yorba
Commission. Elected chair of the Commission in March Linda.
2014.
BILL EMMERSON | Redlands
VICE CHAIRMAN SEAN VARNER | Riverside Appointed to the Commission by Governor Edmund G.
Appointed to the Commission by Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. in December 2018. Former senior vice president
Brown Jr. in April 2016 and reappointed in January 2018. of state relations and advocacy at the California Hospital
Managing partner at Varner & Brandt LLP where he Association, State Senator from 2010 to 2013, State
practices as a transactional attorney focusing on mergers Assemblymember from 2004 to 2010, and orthodonist.
and acquisitions, finance, real estate, and general counsel
work. Elected vice chair of the Commission in March 2017. GIL GARCETTI | LOS ANGELES
Appointed to the Commission by Governor Gavin Newsom
DION ARONER | Berkeley in November 2021. Professional photographer and author
Appointed to the Commission by the Senate Rules of ten books. Former Los Angeles County District Attorney,
Committee in April 2019. Partner for Aroner, Jewel, and teaching Fellow at Harvard University’s Kennedy School,
Ellis. Former State Assemblymember from 1996 to 2002, and president of the California Science Center Foundation’s
chief of staff for Assemblymember Tom Bates, social Board of Trustees.
worker for Alameda County, and the first female president
of Service Employees International Union 535. SEN. DAVE MIN | Irvine
Appointed to the Commission by the Senate Rules
DAVID BEIER | San Francisco Committee in September 2021. Elected in November 2020
Appointed to the Commission by Governor Edmund G. to represent the 37th Senate District. Represents Anaheim
Brown Jr. in June 2014 and reappointed in January 2018. Hills, Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Laguna Beach,
Managing director of Bay City Capital. Former senior officer Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Newport Beach, Orange,
of Genentech and Amgen, and counsel to the U.S. House of Tustin, and Villa Park.
Representatives Committee on the Judiciary.
SEN. JIM NIELSEN | Gerber
ASM. TASHA BOERNER HORVATH | Encinitas Appointed to the Commission by the Senate Rules
Appointed to the Commission by Speaker of the Assembly Committee in March 2019. Elected in January 2013 to
Anthony Rendon in October 2021. Elected in November represent the 4th Senate District. Represents Chico, Oroville,
2018 to represent the 76th Assembly District. Represents Paradise, Red Bluff, Yuba City, and surrounding areas.
Camp Pendleton, Oceanside, Vista, Carlsbad, and Encinitas.
JANNA SIDLEY | Los Angeles
CYNTHIA BUIZA | Los Angeles Appointed to the Commission by Governor Edmund
Appointed to the Commission by Speaker of the Assembly G. Brown Jr. in April 2016 and reappointed in February
Anthony Rendon in October 2018. Executive director of the 2020. General counsel at the Port of Los Angeles since
California Immigrant Policy Center. Former policy director 2013. Former deputy city attorney at the Los Angeles City
for the American Civil Liberties Union, San Diego, and Attorney’s Office from 2003 to 2013.
policy and advocacy director at the Coalition for Humane
Immigrant Rights of Los Angeles. Full biographies are available on the Commission’s
website at www.lhc.ca.gov.
ANTHONY CANNELLA | Ceres
Appointed to the Commission by the Senate Rules
Committee in March 2022. Civil engineer and principal with
Northstar Engineering Group. Former State Senator from
2010 to 2018. Previously served on the Ceres City Council
and was twice elected mayor of that city.
CALIFORNIA HOUSING: BUILDING A MORE AFFORDABLE FUTURE | 27
“DEMOCRACY ITSELF IS A PROCESS OF CHANGE, AND
SATISFACTION AND COMPLACENCY ARE ENEMIES OF
GOOD GOVERNMENT.”
By Governor Edmund G. “Pat” Brown,
addressing the inaugural meeting of the Little Hoover Commission,
April 24,1962, Sacramento, California
Milton Marks Commission on California State
Government Organization and Economy
www.lhc.ca.gov